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Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima

Sports→TennisSettlement: Brandon NakashimaLiquidity: $223.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $348.1KEvent: Lyon Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Brandon Nakashima
0.0¢
Kyrian Jacquet payout
100.0¢
Brandon Nakashima payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:106 trades$120.6K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 35%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 41 min agoofficial metadata 17 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Kyrian Jacquet · $2.5K net·7 wallets·$15.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKyrian Jacquet$24.6K@ 38¢·Kkunn

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Brandon Nakashima. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-29 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Kyrian Jacquet and Brandon Nakashima in the Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kyrian Jacquet' if Kyrian Jacquet advances against Brandon Nakashima. This market will resolve to 'Brandon Nakashima' if Brandon Nakashima advances against Kyrian Jacquet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 17m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 17m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Kyrian Jacquet@ 40.0¢3h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h INVALIDATED -10.0pp
Latest book event: Brandon Nakashima UP 2.5pp · near-book depth $7.9K → $2.3K · 4s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Kyrian Jacquet; negative values favor Brandon Nakashima. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKyrian Jacquet · $14.7K
6hKyrian Jacquet · $17.0K
24hKyrian Jacquet · $14.2K

Kyrian Jacquet price VWAP

Volume-weighted Kyrian Jacquet price. Brandon Nakashima fills are converted to the complementary Kyrian Jacquet probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h27.2¢▼ below by 27.2pp
VWAP 7d27.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Kyrian Jacquet price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$7
40¢
$1.3K
35¢
$51.0K
30¢
$22.5K
25¢
$4.3K
20¢
$11.3K
15¢
$3.7K
10¢
$10.7K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$16.0K

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLBrandon Nakashima$10.3K@ 99.9¢
madkkee0xd27c…c081
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYKyrian Jacquet$24.6K@ 38.0¢
Kkunn0xe787…5034
🐋—about 5 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

KkunnKyrian Jacquet$29.0K
BUY VWAP 37.8¢·2 fills
UpTheBluesBrandon Nakashima$15.4K
BUY VWAP 71.0¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.