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Counter-Strike: Alianza Lima Esports vs Los Niños - Map 2 Winner

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $12.5KEvent: Counter-Strike: Alianza Lima Esports vs Los Niños (BO3) - CCT South America Series 7 Group Stage
0.1¢
Alianza Lima Esports
100.0¢
Los Niños
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection36Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution69Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 71%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:15 trades$3.2K trackedsource coverage 26%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 17 min agoofficial metadata 12 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Los Niños · $62 net·2 wallets·$62 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLLos Niños$1.0K@ 100¢·0x3e00…f6ce

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Alianza Lima Esports pressure: $1.2K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$1.2K
6h
−$559
tracked
$3.2K

2 verified profitable wallets: Los Niños · $62 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 71% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 17 minutes old.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Alianza Lima Esports or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-22 04:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Alianza Lima Esports" if Alianza Lima Esports win Map 2 against Los Niños.

•This market will resolve to "Los Niños" if Los Niños win Map 2 against Alianza Lima Esports.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between Alianza Lima Esports and Los Niños in the CCT South America Series 7 Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Alianza Lima Esports" if Alianza Lima Esports win Map 2 against Los Niños. This market will resolve to "Los Niños" if Los Niños win Map 2 against Alianza Lima Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 4, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 21, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 2h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xaa46…04ae2 linked markets · $414 gross
Doomsday773 linked markets · $199 gross
0x99a093771ad58bcfc3023cd75566415f2 linked markets · $14 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alianza Lima Esports; negative values favor Los Niños. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlianza Lima Esports · $1.2K
6hLos Niños · $559
24hLos Niños · $559

Alianza Lima Esports price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alianza Lima Esports price. Los Niños fills are converted to the complementary Alianza Lima Esports probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h9.3¢▼ below by 9.3pp
VWAP 7d9.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alianza Lima Esports price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$545
15¢
$30
10¢
$1.4K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$1.3K

VPOC = 10¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.