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Fort Worth: Gabriel Debru vs Alex Rybakov

● quote 66 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $574.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $355.0KEvent: Fort Worth: Gabriel Debru vs Alex Rybakov
99.9¢
Gabriel Debru
0.1¢
Alex Rybakov
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets48Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 59%💡 11 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:120 trades$129.8K tracked3% 🐋source coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 68 min agoofficial metadata 65 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Gabriel Debru · $1.1K net·11 wallets·$2.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLGabriel Debru$17.4K@ 100¢·kkookkoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$556
tracked
$129.8K

11 verified profitable wallets: Gabriel Debru · $1.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +40.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 66 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 68 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 65 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-29 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Gabriel Debru and Alex Rybakov in the Fort Worth, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Gabriel Debru' if Gabriel Debru advances against Alex Rybakov. This market will resolve to 'Alex Rybakov' if Alex Rybakov advances against Gabriel Debru. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe907…cff63 linked markets · $264 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Gabriel Debru2h ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Gabriel Debru@ 60.0¢2h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Gabriel Debru UP 9.0pp · near-book depth $1.1K → $88 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Gabriel Debru; negative values favor Alex Rybakov. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGabriel Debru · $0
6hAlex Rybakov · $556
24hAlex Rybakov · $515

Gabriel Debru price VWAP

Volume-weighted Gabriel Debru price. Alex Rybakov fills are converted to the complementary Gabriel Debru probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h63.4¢▲ above by 36.5pp
VWAP 7d63.4¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Gabriel Debru price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$32.0K
90¢
$2.0K
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$4.9K
65¢
$39
60¢
$22.0K
55¢
$35.5K
50¢
$11.2K
45¢
$51
40¢
$921
35¢
$0
30¢
$48
25¢
$5.2K
20¢
$16.1K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLGabriel Debru$17.4K@ 99.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYGabriel Debru$13.4K@ 59.0¢
HVAB0x8546…35b8
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYGabriel Debru$12.2K@ 60.0¢
HVAB0x8546…35b8
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYAlex Rybakov$16.1K@ 77.0¢
HVAB0x8546…35b8
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

HVABGabriel Debru$25.6K
BUY VWAP 59.5¢·2 fills
HVABAlex Rybakov$16.1K
BUY VWAP 77.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.