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Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Stan Wawrinka

Sports→TennisSettlement: Flavio CobolliLiquidity: $224.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $478.1KEvent: Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Stan Wawrinka
100.0¢
Flavio Cobolli payout
0.0¢
Stan Wawrinka payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:94 trades$175.4K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 38 min agoofficial metadata 8 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Flavio Cobolli · $46.6K net·12 wallets(3🐋)·$70.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYFlavio Cobolli$20.2K@ 74¢·0x076d…8d4c

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Flavio Cobolli. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-29 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Flavio Cobolli and Stan Wawrinka in the Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Flavio Cobolli' if Flavio Cobolli advances against Stan Wawrinka. This market will resolve to 'Stan Wawrinka' if Stan Wawrinka advances against Flavio Cobolli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 9m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 9m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $4.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Flavio Cobolli@ 91.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
ANTI CHASEBUY Flavio Cobolli2h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Flavio Cobolli@ 75.0¢2h ago
15m CONFIRMED +15.0pp1h CONFIRMED +23.3pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Flavio Cobolli@ 72.0¢4h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: Flavio Cobolli UP 3.0pp · near-book depth $59.2K → $30.0K · 33s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Flavio Cobolli; negative values favor Stan Wawrinka. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFlavio Cobolli · $16.0K
6hFlavio Cobolli · $85.7K
24hFlavio Cobolli · $105.5K

Flavio Cobolli price VWAP

Volume-weighted Flavio Cobolli price. Stan Wawrinka fills are converted to the complementary Flavio Cobolli probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h80.3¢▲ above by 19.7pp
VWAP 7d80.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Flavio Cobolli price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$22.1K
90¢
$29.1K
85¢
$9.2K
80¢
$4.2K
75¢
$10.4K
70¢
$88.6K
65¢
$11.8K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 70¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYFlavio Cobolli$14.0K@ 99.9¢
LhordGryffin0x9909…311c
🐋—43 minutes ago
BUYStan Wawrinka$10.8K@ 9.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYFlavio Cobolli$20.2K@ 73.6¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—about 2 hours ago
SELLFlavio Cobolli$11.8K@ 69.4¢
isco230x86eb…6566
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYFlavio Cobolli$20.0K@ 73.0¢
isco230x86eb…6566
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYFlavio Cobolli$10.0K@ 72.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 7 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x076d…8d4cFlavio Cobolli$26.7K
BUY VWAP 73.5¢·2 fills
isco23Flavio Cobolli$20.0K
BUY VWAP 73.0¢·1 fill
UpTheBluesFlavio Cobolli$19.5K
BUY VWAP 84.1¢·10 fills
ferrariChampions2026Flavio Cobolli$14.5K
BUY VWAP 72.0¢·3 fills
LhordGryffinFlavio Cobolli$14.0K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
0x2c33…0563Stan Wawrinka$11.9K
BUY VWAP 9.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.