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Set 1 Winner: Flavio Cobolli vs Stan Wawrinka

Sports→TennisSettlement: Flavio CobolliLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $2.1KEvent: Lyon Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Stan Wawrinka
100.0¢
Flavio Cobolli payout
0.0¢
Stan Wawrinka payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:2 trades$834 trackedsource coverage 39%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 128 min agoofficial metadata 53 min ago

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Flavio Cobolli. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-29 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to “Flavio Cobolli” if Flavio Cobolli wins the first set. It will resolve to “Stan Wawrinka” if Stan Wawrinka wins the first set.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Flavio Cobolli and Stan Wawrinka in the Lyon Open, originally scheduled for October 22, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Flavio Cobolli” if Flavio Cobolli wins the first set. It will resolve to “Stan Wawrinka” if Stan Wawrinka wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 1h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 1h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $4.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Flavio Cobolli; negative values favor Stan Wawrinka. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hStan Wawrinka · $584
6hStan Wawrinka · $334
24hStan Wawrinka · $334

Flavio Cobolli price VWAP

Volume-weighted Flavio Cobolli price. Stan Wawrinka fills are converted to the complementary Flavio Cobolli probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h89.7¢▲ above by 10.3pp
VWAP 7d89.7¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Flavio Cobolli price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$584
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$250
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.