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Cholet vs. Spartak Subotica

Sports→BasketballCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $1.8KEvent: Cholet vs. Spartak Subotica

Polymarket indicative prices · 12 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.05¢
Cholet
99.95¢
Spartak Subotica
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 52%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:6 trades$134 trackedsource coverage 8%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 66 min agoofficial metadata 12 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$105
tracked
$134

1 verified profitable wallet: Cholet · $8 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 52% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 66 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-04 19:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.championsleague.basketball/
Outcome meaning

•If the Cholet win, the market will resolve to "Cholet".

•If the Spartak Subotica win, the market will resolve to "Spartak Subotica".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming Basketball Champions League game, scheduled for October 28 at 3:00PM ET: If the Cholet win, the market will resolve to "Cholet". If the Spartak Subotica win, the market will resolve to "Spartak Subotica". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cholet; negative values favor Spartak Subotica. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCholet · $0
6hSpartak Subotica · $105
24hSpartak Subotica · $101

Cholet price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cholet price. Spartak Subotica fills are converted to the complementary Cholet probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.05¢
VWAP 24h24.39¢▼ below by 24.3pp
VWAP 7d27.11¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Cholet price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$11
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$13
25¢
$0
20¢
$117
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.