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Dota 2: Astra Invicta vs LEGION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B

● quote just now
Sports→Esports · Dota 2Closes: about 1 hourLiquidity: $416.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $662.3KEvent: Dota 2: Astra Invicta vs LEGION (BO3) - PARI Universe Group B

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.05¢
Astra Invicta
99.95¢
LEGION
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection10Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets22Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 57%💡 27 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:289 trades$193.8K trackedsource coverage 29%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 37 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Astra Invicta · $7.1K net·27 wallets·$32.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAstra Invicta$10.9K@ 76¢·PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Astra Invicta pressure: $18.8K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$18.8K
6h
+$78.2K
tracked
$193.8K

27 verified profitable wallets: Astra Invicta · $7.1K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 57% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -77.9pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 37 minutes old.
  • •Less than 1h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Astra Invicta or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-24 23:15 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Astra Invicta" if Astra Invicta win the match against LEGION.

•This market will resolve to "LEGION" if LEGION win the match against Astra Invicta.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Astra Invicta and LEGION in the PARI Universe Group B, initially scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Astra Invicta" if Astra Invicta win the match against LEGION. This market will resolve to "LEGION" if LEGION win the match against Astra Invicta. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 7, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 24, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 4h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
madar782 linked markets · $40.3K gross
relativesignificance3 linked markets · $28.5K gross
GeorgeRe3 linked markets · $26.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Astra Invicta@ 78.0¢2h ago
15m INVALIDATED -23.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: LEGION DOWN 5.0pp · near-book depth $378 → $273 · 5s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Astra Invicta; negative values favor LEGION. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAstra Invicta · $18.8K
6hAstra Invicta · $78.2K
24hAstra Invicta · $78.5K

Astra Invicta price VWAP

Volume-weighted Astra Invicta price. LEGION fills are converted to the complementary Astra Invicta probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.05¢
VWAP 24h45.72¢▼ below by 45.7pp
VWAP 7d45.72¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Astra Invicta price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$2.6K
80¢
$6.2K
75¢
$48.8K
70¢
$26.0K
65¢
$6.7K
60¢
$12.7K
55¢
$9.7K
50¢
$0
45¢
$93
40¢
$8.5K
35¢
$3.0K
30¢
$5.0K
25¢
$0
20¢
$1.7K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$2.0K
0¢
← now
$60.8K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYAstra Invicta$10.9K@ 76.0¢
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN0xdaef…54e9
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

relativesignificanceAstra Invicta$25.6K
BUY VWAP 74.93¢·9 fills
madar78LEGION$20.0K
BUY VWAP 67.14¢·11 fills
PEYZ-BIGGEST-FANAstra Invicta$10.9K
BUY VWAP 76.0¢·1 fill
yanedaniilAstra Invicta$10.1K
BUY VWAP 73.78¢·6 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.