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Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Yexin Ma vs Daria Kasatkina

● quote 19s ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $34.6KEvent: Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Yexin Ma vs Daria Kasatkina

Indicative prices · 19s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.05¢
Yexin Ma
99.95¢
Daria Kasatkina
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection29Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets63Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution69Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 84%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:34 trades$12.5K trackedsource coverage 36%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 5 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Daria Kasatkina · $613 net·4 wallets·$969 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLDaria Kasatkina$4.3K@ 100¢·karan84

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Yexin Ma pressure: $3.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$3.7K
6h
+$547
tracked
$12.5K

4 verified profitable wallets: Daria Kasatkina · $613 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 84% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Yexin Ma or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-31 04:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Yexin Ma and Daria Kasatkina in the Pan Pacific Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yexin Ma' if Yexin Ma advances against Daria Kasatkina. This market will resolve to 'Daria Kasatkina' if Daria Kasatkina advances against Yexin Ma. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Yexin Ma; negative values favor Daria Kasatkina. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYexin Ma · $3.7K
6hYexin Ma · $547
24hYexin Ma · $679

Yexin Ma price VWAP

Volume-weighted Yexin Ma price. Daria Kasatkina fills are converted to the complementary Yexin Ma probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.05¢
VWAP 24h9.43¢▼ below by 9.4pp
VWAP 7d9.43¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Yexin Ma price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$1
20¢
$4.8K
15¢
$132
10¢
$113
5¢
$55
0¢
← now
$7.4K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.