PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Set 2 Winner: Yexin Ma vs Daria Kasatkina

Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $200Event: Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Yexin Ma vs Daria Kasatkina

Polymarket indicative prices · 2 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

1.1¢
Yexin Ma
98.9¢
Daria Kasatkina
—
Spread
anomaly40Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection100Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 62%
24h sample:1 trades$97 trackedsource coverage 48%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 15 min agoofficial metadata 2 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
+$97
6h
+$97
tracked
$97

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 62% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-31 04:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to “Yexin Ma” if Yexin Ma wins set 2. It will resolve to “Daria Kasatkina” if Daria Kasatkina wins set 2.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Yexin Ma and Daria Kasatkina in the Pan Pacific Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to “Yexin Ma” if Yexin Ma wins set 2. It will resolve to “Daria Kasatkina” if Daria Kasatkina wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Yexin Ma; negative values favor Daria Kasatkina. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYexin Ma · $97
6hYexin Ma · $97
24hYexin Ma · $97

Yexin Ma price VWAP

Volume-weighted Yexin Ma price. Daria Kasatkina fills are converted to the complementary Yexin Ma probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current1.1¢
VWAP 24h3.3¢▼ below by 2.2pp
VWAP 7d3.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Yexin Ma price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$97

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Yexin Ma vs Daria Kasatkina
0.3¢$34.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ma vs. Kasatkina: Match O/U 22.5
50.0¢$11priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Yexin Ma (-1.5) vs Daria Kasatkina (+1.5)
0.45¢$6priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ma vs. Kasatkina: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
7.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Yexin Ma vs. Daria Kasatkina: Total Sets O/U 2.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ma vs. Kasatkina: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
7.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ma vs. Kasatkina: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ma vs. Kasatkina: Match O/U 21.5
7.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.