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Japan Women's Open: Katie Boulter vs Katerina Siniakova

Sports→TennisSettlement: Katerina SiniakovaLiquidity: $105.0KOfficial 24h Vol: $127.2KEvent: Japan Women's Open: Katie Boulter vs Katerina Siniakova
0.0¢
Katie Boulter payout
100.0¢
Katerina Siniakova payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:56 trades$57.4K tracked4% 🐋source coverage 45%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 63 min agoofficial metadata 25 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Katerina Siniakova · $36.9K net·8 wallets(1🐋)·$42.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYKaterina Siniakova$16.1K@ 90¢·RN1

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Katerina Siniakova. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-31 04:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Katie Boulter and Katerina Siniakova in the Japan Women's Open, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Katie Boulter' if Katie Boulter advances against Katerina Siniakova. This market will resolve to 'Katerina Siniakova' if Katerina Siniakova advances against Katie Boulter. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 26m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 26m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x73a4…66922 linked markets · $0 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Katerina Siniakova@ 96.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Katerina Siniakova UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $1.7K → $134.9K · 20s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Katie Boulter; negative values favor Katerina Siniakova. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKaterina Siniakova · $36.2K
6hKaterina Siniakova · $39.5K
24hKaterina Siniakova · $49.6K

Katie Boulter price VWAP

Volume-weighted Katie Boulter price. Katerina Siniakova fills are converted to the complementary Katie Boulter probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h18.12¢▼ below by 18.1pp
VWAP 7d18.12¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Katie Boulter price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$2.3K
35¢
$10.5K
30¢
$1.6K
25¢
$15
20¢
$1.8K
15¢
$5.0K
10¢
$22.7K
5¢
$13.3K
0¢
← now
$130

VPOC = 10¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYKaterina Siniakova$13.3K@ 91.66¢
RN10x2005…75ea
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYKaterina Siniakova$16.1K@ 89.83¢
RN10x2005…75ea
🐋—about 1 hour ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

RN1Katerina Siniakova$29.5K
BUY VWAP 90.65¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.