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Set Handicap: Katerina Siniakova (-1.5) vs Katie Boulter (+1.5)

Sports→TennisSettlement: Katerina SiniakovaLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $474Event: Japan Women's Open: Katie Boulter vs Katerina Siniakova
100.0¢
Katerina Siniakova payout
0.0¢
Katie Boulter. payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:2 trades$257 trackedsource coverage 86%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 60 min agoofficial metadata 27 min ago

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Katerina Siniakova. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-31 04:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Katerina Siniakova" if Katerina Siniakova wins by 2 or more sets than Katie Boulter, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Katie Boulter."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Katerina Siniakova can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Katie Boulter."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Katerina Siniakova and Katie Boulter in the Japan Women's Open, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 12:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Katerina Siniakova" if Katerina Siniakova wins by 2 or more sets than Katie Boulter, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Katie Boulter." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Katerina Siniakova can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Katie Boulter." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 28m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x73a4…66922 linked markets · $0 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Katerina Siniakova; negative values favor Katie Boulter.. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hKatie Boulter. · $173
6hKatie Boulter. · $90
24hKatie Boulter. · $90

Katerina Siniakova price VWAP

Volume-weighted Katerina Siniakova price. Katie Boulter. fills are converted to the complementary Katerina Siniakova probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h82.77¢▲ above by 17.2pp
VWAP 7d82.77¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Katerina Siniakova price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$173
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$84
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.