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Counter-Strike: maybe vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #9 Playoffs

● quote 7 min ago
Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $21.1KEvent: Counter-Strike: maybe vs LPH Gaming (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #9 Playoffs

Polymarket indicative prices · 11 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.95¢
maybe
0.05¢
LPH Gaming
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 58%
24h sample:16 trades$6.4K trackedsource coverage 30%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 69 min agoofficial metadata 11 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLmaybe$6.0K@ 100¢·patitec

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$6.2K
tracked
$6.4K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 58% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 7 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 69 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-23 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "maybe" if maybe win the match against LPH Gaming.

•This market will resolve to "LPH Gaming" if LPH Gaming win the match against maybe.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Third Place match between maybe and LPH Gaming in the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #9 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "maybe" if maybe win the match against LPH Gaming. This market will resolve to "LPH Gaming" if LPH Gaming win the match against maybe. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
patitec3 linked markets · $13.3K gross
0xb7ca…ce5a2 linked markets · $299 gross
testBruno22 linked markets · $212 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor maybe; negative values favor LPH Gaming. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hmaybe · $0
6hLPH Gaming · $6.2K
24hLPH Gaming · $6.2K

maybe price VWAP

Volume-weighted maybe price. LPH Gaming fills are converted to the complementary maybe probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.95¢
VWAP 24h97.09¢▲ above by 2.9pp
VWAP 7d97.09¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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maybe price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$6.0K
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$1
70¢
$6
65¢
$80
60¢
$90
55¢
$0
50¢
$11
45¢
$0
40¢
$194
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.