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LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage

● quote 18 min ago
Sports→Esports · League of LegendsCloses: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $1.3MOfficial 24h Vol: $4.3MEvent: LoL: Gen.G vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage
99.9¢
Gen.G
0.1¢
Invictus Gaming
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection26Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets34Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 38 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:2229 trades$1.9M tracked2% 🐋source coverage 44%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 18 min agoofficial metadata 19 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Gen.G · $59.3K net·38 wallets(2🐋)·$170.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYGen.G$74.7K@ 100¢·trgparking

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Invictus Gaming pressure: $488.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$488.3K
6h
−$84.5K
tracked
$1.9M

38 verified profitable wallets: Gen.G · $59.3K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +6.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 18 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 18 minutes old.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Invictus Gaming or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-23 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://gol.gg/esports/home
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win the match against Invictus Gaming.

•This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win the match against Gen.G.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the LoL Round 1 match between Gen.G and Invictus Gaming in the Worlds Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Gen.G" if Gen.G win the match against Invictus Gaming. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win the match against Gen.G. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 6, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 23, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Gen.G@ 94.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
ACCUMULATIONBUY Invictus Gaming@ 46.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Invictus Gaming@ 46.0¢1h ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE
LARGE FLOWBUY Gen.G@ 77.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Gen.G; negative values favor Invictus Gaming. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hInvictus Gaming · $488.3K
6hInvictus Gaming · $84.5K
24hInvictus Gaming · $66.9K

Gen.G price VWAP

Volume-weighted Gen.G price. Invictus Gaming fills are converted to the complementary Gen.G probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h84.3¢▲ above by 15.6pp
VWAP 7d84.3¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Gen.G price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$815.9K
90¢
$34.5K
85¢
$0
80¢
$14.5K
75¢
$497.8K
70¢
$448.4K
65¢
$23.2K
60¢
$11.5K
55¢
$5.2K
50¢
$30.5K
45¢
$31.1K
40¢
$6.4K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLGen.G$20.0K@ 99.9¢
MeiGuNiuBi0xdd88…dadb
🐋—31 minutes ago
SELLGen.G$20.0K@ 99.9¢
meoooow0xd202…8973
🐋—31 minutes ago
SELLGen.G$12.0K@ 99.9¢
carlaAB0x9386…fdfe
🐋—40 minutes ago
SELLGen.G$20.7K@ 99.9¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋—41 minutes ago
SELLGen.G$30.0K@ 99.9¢
meoooow0xd202…8973
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLGen.G$10.1K@ 99.9¢0xe388…acf3🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLGen.G$40.0K@ 99.9¢
MeiGuNiuBi0xdd88…dadb
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLGen.G$11.6K@ 99.9¢
wangyou12880x9283…4277
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLGen.G$30.7K@ 99.9¢
blgmsiwin0x6100…ed95
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLGen.G$14.7K@ 99.9¢
btbx676714040x4283…fbd4
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLGen.G$28.8K@ 99.9¢
n0tTODAY0x89a6…429a
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLGen.G$16.5K@ 99.9¢
Gumayusi980x5bc6…eff4
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLGen.G$17.0K@ 99.9¢0x9e3e…f882🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLGen.G$21.1K@ 99.9¢
bluemol0x664e…e82a
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLGen.G$10.4K@ 99.9¢0x0f23…ea6c🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLGen.G$17.5K@ 99.9¢
origato0x0834…0980
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYGen.G$74.7K@ 99.9¢
trgparking0xe361…ae44
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYGen.G$15.0K@ 99.9¢
2543217580x04b1…d224
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYGen.G$72.6K@ 99.9¢
c4a759e5c9350491AF61646f2c4A460x14f1…4a46
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYGen.G$12.7K@ 99.8¢
Ja8880xf94a…396b
🐋—about 1 hour ago
SELLGen.G$15.4K@ 99.1¢
JohnLau0xff42…01a4
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYGen.G$10.0K@ 97.8¢
Gumayusi980x5bc6…eff4
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYGen.G$54.7K@ 76.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$16.2K@ 29.9¢0xe907…cff6🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$20.3K@ 29.0¢
Mooseborzoiii0x57a8…ebc2
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYGen.G$28.1K@ 72.0¢
LlamaEnjoyer0x9b97…5e12
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$53.8K@ 29.9¢
Mooseborzoiii0x57a8…ebc2
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$14.5K@ 29.0¢
Mooseborzoiii0x57a8…ebc2
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYGen.G$11.3K@ 73.0¢
JohnLau0xff42…01a4
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$11.6K@ 29.0¢
Mooseborzoiii0x57a8…ebc2
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYGen.G$20.0K@ 72.0¢
blgmsiwin0x6100…ed95
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$23.3K@ 28.4¢
Mooseborzoiii0x57a8…ebc2
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYInvictus Gaming$44.8K@ 25.0¢
Mooseborzoiii0x57a8…ebc2
🐋—about 2 hours ago
SELLGen.G$12.1K@ 77.0¢
stop1234444440x3f97…4059
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYGen.G$18.0K@ 77.0¢
Sunshine.Smile0xd3b0…329e
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYGen.G$11.4K@ 76.0¢
stop1234444440x3f97…4059
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYGen.G$11.0K@ 77.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYGen.G$11.0K@ 77.0¢
BrotherObama0x8a86…4998
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYGen.G$17.2K@ 77.0¢
retordedgremlin1250xf0b6…2fef
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYGen.G$35.5K@ 77.0¢
retordedgremlin1250xf0b6…2fef
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYGen.G$13.1K@ 77.0¢0x9e3e…f882🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYGen.G$14.8K@ 78.0¢
five51200xc1c7…f0a7
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYGen.G$10.0K@ 78.0¢
bluemol0x664e…e82a
🐋—about 17 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

MooseborzoiiiInvictus Gaming$224.9K
BUY VWAP 28.1¢·16 fills
trgparkingGen.G$74.7K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
c4a759e5c9350491AF61646f2c4A46Gen.G$72.6K
BUY VWAP 99.9¢·1 fill
retordedgremlin125Gen.G$60.7K
BUY VWAP 76.9¢·3 fills
0x2c33…0563Gen.G$54.7K
BUY VWAP 76.0¢·1 fill
254321758Gen.G$39.9K
BUY VWAP 84.5¢·7 fills
LlamaEnjoyerGen.G$28.1K
BUY VWAP 72.0¢·1 fill
five5120Gen.G$24.8K
BUY VWAP 75.5¢·3 fills
0x9e3e…f882Gen.G$22.1K
BUY VWAP 76.8¢·21 fills
BrotherObamaGen.G$22.0K
BUY VWAP 77.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.