PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Bublik

Sports→TennisSettlement: Daniil MedvedevLiquidity: $126.4KOfficial 24h Vol: $676.3KEvent: Almaty Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Bublik
100.0¢
Daniil Medvedev payout
0.0¢
Alexander Bublik payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Daniil Medvedev · $3.6K net·15 wallets(4🐋)·$148.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAlexander Bublik$23.4K@ 34¢·Kkunn

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Daniil Medvedev. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-31 13:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Alexander Bublik in the Almaty Open, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Alexander Bublik. This market will resolve to 'Alexander Bublik' if Alexander Bublik advances against Daniil Medvedev. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 24h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 24h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
kitopesivan2 linked markets · $21 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Daniil Medvedev@ 91.0¢1d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
MARKET SWEEPBUY Daniil Medvedev@ 92.0¢1d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
POSITION CHANGESELL Daniil Medvedev@ 92.0¢1d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Daniil Medvedev; negative values favor Alexander Bublik. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDaniil Medvedev · $15.6K
6hDaniil Medvedev · $69.8K
24hDaniil Medvedev · $77.9K

Daniil Medvedev price VWAP

Volume-weighted Daniil Medvedev price. Alexander Bublik fills are converted to the complementary Daniil Medvedev probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h79.07¢▲ above by 20.9pp
VWAP 7d79.07¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Daniil Medvedev price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$36.7K
90¢
$14.8K
85¢
$67.5K
80¢
$2.3K
75¢
$11.9K
70¢
$7.6K
65¢
$68.8K
60¢
$23.8K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLDaniil Medvedev$12.9K@ 87.0¢0x5fd2…afce🐋—about 24 hours ago
BUYDaniil Medvedev$18.0K@ 85.0¢0x5fd2…afce🐋—about 24 hours ago
BUYAlexander Bublik$13.1K@ 14.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—about 24 hours ago
BUYAlexander Bublik$23.4K@ 34.0¢
Kkunn0xe787…5034
🐋—1 day ago
SELLDaniil Medvedev$10.2K@ 64.0¢
beeemw0x1e38…fd47
🐋—1 day ago
BUYDaniil Medvedev$10.0K@ 65.0¢
kahe0x88d1…18da
🐋—1 day ago
BUYDaniil Medvedev$10.6K@ 66.0¢
beeemw0x1e38…fd47
🐋—1 day ago
BUYDaniil Medvedev$10.7K@ 65.0¢
viper03100xf64f…eed7
🐋—1 day ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?
23.5¢$1.3Mpriority52Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?
61.5¢$1.1Mpriority64Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewers
—$1.0Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Ningbo Open: Elena Rybakina vs Leylah Fernandez
—$921.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
25.5¢$817.5Kpriority53Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs 1win - Game 1 Winner
99.95¢$649.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Japan Women's Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Katerina Siniakova
—$592.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
17.75¢$550.3Kpriority47Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

KkunnAlexander Bublik$30.3K
BUY VWAP 34.35¢·3 fills
0x5fd2…afceDaniil Medvedev$19.1K
BUY VWAP 85.50¢·2 fills
0x2c33…0563Alexander Bublik$13.1K
BUY VWAP 14.0¢·1 fill
dips.Daniil Medvedev$11.1K
BUY VWAP 95.13¢·4 fills
viper0310Daniil Medvedev$10.7K
BUY VWAP 65.0¢·1 fill
beeemwDaniil Medvedev$10.6K
BUY VWAP 66.0¢·1 fill
dmoralezDaniil Medvedev$10.5K
BUY VWAP 94.85¢·2 fills
cs2.quantDaniil Medvedev$10.0K
BUY VWAP 76.46¢·2 fills
kaheDaniil Medvedev$10.0K
BUY VWAP 65.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.