PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Counter-Strike: Dark Moon vs NOCTIS - Map 1 Winner

Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $1.4KEvent: Counter-Strike: Dark Moon vs NOCTIS (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Play-In

Indicative prices · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

—
Dark Moon
—
NOCTIS
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 53%
24h sample:2 trades$185 trackedsource coverage 14%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 74 min agoofficial metadata 57 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$185
tracked
$185

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 53% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Indicative price is unavailable.
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Only 2 tracked trades / 2 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-24 20:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Dark Moon" if Dark Moon win Map 1 against NOCTIS.

•This market will resolve to "NOCTIS" if NOCTIS win Map 1 against Dark Moon.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Dark Moon and NOCTIS in the Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Play-In, initially scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Dark Moon" if Dark Moon win Map 1 against NOCTIS. This market will resolve to "NOCTIS" if NOCTIS win Map 1 against Dark Moon. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 7, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 24, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 3h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
ARTEM-DZYUBA2 linked markets · $796 gross
DkOYL3 linked markets · $8 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Dark Moon; negative values favor NOCTIS. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDark Moon · $0
6hDark Moon · $185
24hDark Moon · $185

Dark Moon price VWAP

Volume-weighted Dark Moon price. NOCTIS fills are converted to the complementary Dark Moon probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current—
VWAP 24h91.96¢
VWAP 7d91.96¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Dark Moon price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$185
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 90¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: Dark Moon vs NOCTIS (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #3 Play-In
99.55¢$9.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: Dark Moon vs NOCTIS - Map 2 Winner
—$975priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 2.5
—$223priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Dark Moon (-3.5) vs NOCTIS (+3.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Dark Moon (-6.5) vs NOCTIS (+6.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Dark Moon (-3.5) vs NOCTIS (+3.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Dark Moon (-3.5) vs NOCTIS (+3.5)
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.