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Lakers vs. Warriors

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: about 3 hoursLiquidity: $252.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $163.9KEvent: Lakers vs. Warriors

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

57.5¢
Lakers
42.5¢
Warriors
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly4Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets65Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 73%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:100 trades$52.8K trackedsource coverage 32%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 23 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Lakers · $4.2K net·5 wallets·$6.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYLakers$3.8K@ 56¢·livesportins

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$16
6h
+$2.5K
tracked
$52.8K

5 verified profitable wallets: Lakers · $4.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 73% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 23 minutes old.
  • •Less than 3h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-31 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Lakers".

•If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 30 at 10:00PM ET: If the Lakers win, the market will resolve to "Lakers". If the Warriors win, the market will resolve to "Warriors". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard7 linked markets · $29.6K gross
0xbc43…96d32 linked markets · $21.9K gross
SunlineTicker4 linked markets · $18.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Lakers; negative values favor Warriors. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hWarriors · $16
6hLakers · $2.5K
24hLakers · $40.2K

Lakers price VWAP

Volume-weighted Lakers price. Warriors fills are converted to the complementary Lakers probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current57.5¢
VWAP 24h56.29¢▲ above by 1.2pp
VWAP 7d56.15¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Lakers price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
← now
$52.9K
50¢
$1.8K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 55¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: Lakers (-3.5)
48.5¢$151.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5
46.0¢$144.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 233.5
52.5¢$98.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Lakers (-2.5)
53.5¢$73.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Lakers (-1.5)
56.5¢$28.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 217.5
—$5.1Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 237.5
—$4.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Lakers (-6.5)
—$2.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

SunlineTickerLakers$12.4K
BUY VWAP 56.0¢·8 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.