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Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 235.5

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $140.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $131.8KEvent: Lakers vs. Warriors

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

45.5¢
Over
54.5¢
Under
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection6Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets4Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 74%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:50 trades$49.6K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 22 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Under · $621 net·3 wallets·$15.9K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYOver$11.9K@ 48¢·0xbc43…96d3

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Over pressure: $3.0K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$3.0K
6h
+$3.0K
tracked
$49.6K

3 verified profitable wallets: Under · $621 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 74% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 22 minutes old.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Over or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-31 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Over" if the Lakers and Warriors combine to score 236 or more points in this game.

•If the combined total is less than 236, this market will resolve to "Under".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 30 at 10:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Lakers and Warriors combine to score 236 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 236, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
HomeRunHazard7 linked markets · $29.6K gross
0xbc43…96d32 linked markets · $21.9K gross
SunlineTicker4 linked markets · $18.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Over; negative values favor Under. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hOver · $3.0K
6hOver · $3.0K
24hOver · $4.6K

Over price VWAP

Volume-weighted Over price. Under fills are converted to the complementary Over probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current45.5¢
VWAP 24h46.88¢▼ below by 1.4pp
VWAP 7d46.88¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Over price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
← now
$49.6K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYOver$11.9K@ 48.0¢0xbc43…96d3🐋—about 10 hours ago

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—$2.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xbc43…96d3Over$13.9K
BUY VWAP 47.85¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.