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Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Aleksandar Kovacevic

Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $1.9KEvent: Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Aleksandar Kovacevic

Polymarket indicative prices · 6 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

48.5¢
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
51.5¢
Aleksandar Kovacevic
—
Spread
anomaly40Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection5Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 75%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:7 trades$2.5K trackedsource coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 6 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · $103 net·2 wallets·$103 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYAleksandar Kovacevic$1.2K@ 58¢·neutralwave23

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$109
6h
−$109
tracked
$2.5K

2 verified profitable wallets: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard · $103 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 75% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-01 10:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard and Aleksandar Kovacevic in the Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard' if Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard advances against Aleksandar Kovacevic. This market will resolve to 'Aleksandar Kovacevic' if Aleksandar Kovacevic advances against Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard; negative values favor Aleksandar Kovacevic. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAleksandar Kovacevic · $109
6hAleksandar Kovacevic · $109
24hAleksandar Kovacevic · $109

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard price VWAP

Volume-weighted Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard price. Aleksandar Kovacevic fills are converted to the complementary Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current48.5¢
VWAP 24h43.56¢▲ above by 4.9pp
VWAP 7d43.56¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$50
45¢
← now
$1.2K
40¢
$1.2K
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set Handicap: Aleksandar Kovacevic (-1.5) vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (+1.5)
25.0¢$79priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Perricard vs. Kovacevic: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
50.0¢$74priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Perricard vs. Kovacevic: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs. Aleksandar Kovacevic: Total Sets O/U 2.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Aleksandar Kovacevic
48.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 1 Winner: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Aleksandar Kovacevic
51.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Perricard vs. Kovacevic: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Perricard vs. Kovacevic: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.