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Set 1 Winner: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Aleksandar Kovacevic

Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $23Event: Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Aleksandar Kovacevic

Polymarket indicative prices · 9 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.95¢
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
0.05¢
Aleksandar Kovacevic
—
Spread
anomaly40Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection100Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 55%
24h sample:1 trades$5 trackedsource coverage 20%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 25 min agoofficial metadata 9 min ago

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$5
6h
−$5
tracked
$5

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 55% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Only 1 tracked trades / 1 wallets in the 24h sample.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-01 10:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to “Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard” if Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard wins the first set. It will resolve to “Aleksandar Kovacevic” if Aleksandar Kovacevic wins the first set.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard and Aleksandar Kovacevic in the Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 8:30AM ET. This market will resolve to “Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard” if Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard wins the first set. It will resolve to “Aleksandar Kovacevic” if Aleksandar Kovacevic wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard; negative values favor Aleksandar Kovacevic. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAleksandar Kovacevic · $5
6hAleksandar Kovacevic · $5
24hAleksandar Kovacevic · $5

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard price VWAP

Volume-weighted Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard price. Aleksandar Kovacevic fills are converted to the complementary Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.95¢
VWAP 24h80.0¢▲ above by 20.0pp
VWAP 7d80.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$5
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 80¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Aleksandar Kovacevic
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Set Handicap: Aleksandar Kovacevic (-1.5) vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (+1.5)
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Perricard vs. Kovacevic: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
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Perricard vs. Kovacevic: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
99.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Perricard vs. Kovacevic: Match O/U 22.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Perricard vs. Kovacevic: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Perricard vs. Kovacevic: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Aleksandar Kovacevic
53.5¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.