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UFC Fight Night: Tatiana Suarez vs. Virna Jandiroba (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)

● quote just now
Sports→Combat SportsCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $12.2KOfficial 24h Vol: $368.8KEvent: UFC Fight Night: Tatiana Suarez vs. Virna Jandiroba (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.65¢
Tatiana Suarez
0.35¢
Virna Jandiroba
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection79Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets75Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution66Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 97%💡 11 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:100 trades$319.7K tracked8% 🐋source coverage 87%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Tatiana Suarez · $5.5K net·11 wallets·$6.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTatiana Suarez$90.2K@ 66¢·Sassy-Bucket

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Tatiana Suarez pressure: $253.1K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$253.1K
6h
+$260.3K
tracked
$319.7K

11 verified profitable wallets: Tatiana Suarez · $5.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 97% · priority 0

Since latest accumulation: +33.7pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Less than 2h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 33.7pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Tatiana Suarez or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-08 04:59 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/events
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Tatiana Suarez" if Tatiana Suarez is officially declared the winner of the fight against Virna Jandiroba at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026.

•It will resolve to "Virna Jandiroba" if Virna Jandiroba is officially declared the winner.

Read full resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Tatiana Suarez" if Tatiana Suarez is officially declared the winner of the fight against Virna Jandiroba at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Virna Jandiroba" if Virna Jandiroba is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Tatiana Suarez8m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Tatiana Suarez8m ago
Outcome checks pending
ANTI CHASEBUY Tatiana Suarez8m ago
Outcome checks pending
ACCUMULATIONBUY Tatiana Suarez@ 66.0¢25m ago
15m CONFIRMED +14.0pp
Latest book event: Tatiana Suarez UP 4.5pp · near-book depth $1.7K → $504 · 4s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Tatiana Suarez; negative values favor Virna Jandiroba. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTatiana Suarez · $253.1K
6hTatiana Suarez · $260.3K
24hTatiana Suarez · $262.6K

Tatiana Suarez price VWAP

Volume-weighted Tatiana Suarez price. Virna Jandiroba fills are converted to the complementary Tatiana Suarez probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.65¢
VWAP 24h66.55¢▲ above by 33.1pp
VWAP 7d66.54¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Tatiana Suarez price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$3.5K
90¢
$2.0K
85¢
$6.2K
80¢
$58
75¢
$0
70¢
$4.6K
65¢
$281.7K
60¢
$25.5K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTatiana Suarez$27.2K@ 67.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—18 minutes ago
BUYTatiana Suarez$66.8K@ 66.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—23 minutes ago
BUYTatiana Suarez$10.8K@ 66.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—25 minutes ago
BUYTatiana Suarez$13.5K@ 66.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—27 minutes ago
BUYTatiana Suarez$15.6K@ 66.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—27 minutes ago
BUYTatiana Suarez$90.2K@ 66.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—27 minutes ago
BUYVirna Jandiroba$25.0K@ 35.88¢
krdlox0x710b…30a6
🐋—31 minutes ago
BUYTatiana Suarez$39.0K@ 65.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—40 minutes ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Sassy-BucketTatiana Suarez$272.2K
BUY VWAP 65.92¢·9 fills
krdloxVirna Jandiroba$25.0K
BUY VWAP 35.88¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.