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Hawks vs. Pelicans

Sports→BasketballSettlement: PelicansLiquidity: $185.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $3.6MEvent: Hawks vs. Pelicans
0.0¢
Hawks payout
100.0¢
Pelicans payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Hawks · $1.8K net·20 wallets(3🐋)·$138.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHawks$65.6K@ 65¢·googleplay

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Pelicans. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-31 23:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Hawks".

•If the Pelicans win, the market will resolve to "Pelicans".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 31 at 7:00PM ET: If the Hawks win, the market will resolve to "Hawks". If the Pelicans win, the market will resolve to "Pelicans". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 3d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 3d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
googleplay3 linked markets · $472.9K gross
mooseborzoi3 linked markets · $66.2K gross
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $32.4K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

COUNTER FLOWBUY Pelicans@ 98.0¢3d ago
15m UNAVAILABLE1h UNAVAILABLE6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
POSITION CHANGEBUY Hawks@ 65.0¢3d ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h INVALIDATED -30.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
POSITION CHANGEBUY Hawks@ 66.0¢3d ago
15m STALLED -2.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE
ACCUMULATIONBUY Hawks@ 65.0¢3d ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Hawks; negative values favor Pelicans. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPelicans · $80.7K
6hHawks · $147.2K
24hHawks · $160.7K

Hawks price VWAP

Volume-weighted Hawks price. Pelicans fills are converted to the complementary Hawks probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h48.38¢▼ below by 48.4pp
VWAP 7d48.38¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Hawks price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$316.1K
60¢
$184.8K
55¢
$5.3K
50¢
$4.4K
45¢
$5.9K
40¢
$4.9K
35¢
$5.1K
30¢
$7.8K
25¢
$5.2K
20¢
$33.4K
15¢
$6.3K
10¢
$8.3K
5¢
$94.5K
0¢
← now
$54.1K

VPOC = 65¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYPelicans$10.0K@ 98.33¢0x3829…137e🐋—3 days ago
BUYPelicans$33.9K@ 93.0¢
5e46h0xd487…053e
🐋—3 days ago
BUYPelicans$28.0K@ 93.0¢
ElonSpam0x5116…58c4
🐋—3 days ago
BUYHawks$14.1K@ 23.0¢0x1610…ae49🐋—3 days ago
BUYHawks$12.3K@ 65.0¢
googleplay0xe9b7…ce7b
🐋—3 days ago
BUYPelicans$36.0K@ 36.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—3 days ago
BUYHawks$25.6K@ 65.0¢
googleplay0xe9b7…ce7b
🐋—3 days ago
BUYHawks$55.2K@ 65.0¢
googleplay0xe9b7…ce7b
🐋—3 days ago
BUYPelicans$26.6K@ 35.0¢
YEEES-but-why0x9052…3c2d
🐋—3 days ago
BUYPelicans$12.5K@ 35.0¢
VPenguin0xfbf3…b218
🐋—3 days ago
BUYHawks$48.5K@ 65.0¢
googleplay0xe9b7…ce7b
🐋—3 days ago
BUYHawks$65.6K@ 65.0¢
googleplay0xe9b7…ce7b
🐋—3 days ago
BUYHawks$18.5K@ 64.0¢0x2c33…0563🐋—3 days ago
BUYHawks$24.4K@ 64.0¢
googleplay0xe9b7…ce7b
🐋—3 days ago
BUYHawks$37.9K@ 63.0¢
mooseborzoi0x84cf…2f63
🐋—3 days ago
BUYHawks$20.0K@ 63.0¢0xf559…f462🐋—3 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

googleplayHawks$249.9K
BUY VWAP 64.90¢·8 fills
mooseborzoiHawks$43.5K
BUY VWAP 63.0¢·2 fills
Lakersfan111Pelicans$40.9K
BUY VWAP 35.88¢·2 fills
0x1610…ae49Hawks$36.5K
BUY VWAP 18.78¢·5 fills
5e46hPelicans$36.2K
BUY VWAP 93.06¢·2 fills
YEEES-but-whyPelicans$28.2K
BUY VWAP 35.0¢·2 fills
ElonSpamPelicans$28.0K
BUY VWAP 93.0¢·1 fill
FlaznorpPelicans$22.4K
BUY VWAP 88.02¢·10 fills
0xf559…f462Hawks$20.0K
BUY VWAP 63.0¢·1 fill
0x2c33…0563Hawks$18.5K
BUY VWAP 64.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.