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Sioux Falls: Justin Boulais vs Sebastian Dominko

● quote 179 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $56.4KEvent: Sioux Falls: Justin Boulais vs Sebastian Dominko

Indicative prices · 179 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

9.3¢
Justin Boulais
99.9¢
Sebastian Dominko
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets28Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 53%💡 4 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:33 trades$5.9K trackedsource coverage 10%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 214 min agoofficial metadata 179 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Sebastian Dominko · $127 net·4 wallets·$459 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJustin Boulais$4.0K@ 37¢·0x4fdc…ca1f

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$3.1K
tracked
$5.9K

4 verified profitable wallets: Sebastian Dominko · $127 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 53% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Executable quote is 179 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 214 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 179 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-01 20:50 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Justin Boulais and Sebastian Dominko in the Sioux Falls, USA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 4:50PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Justin Boulais' if Justin Boulais advances against Sebastian Dominko. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Dominko' if Sebastian Dominko advances against Justin Boulais. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Sebastian Dominko UP 5.3pp · near-book depth $2.5K → $591 · 15s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Justin Boulais; negative values favor Sebastian Dominko. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hJustin Boulais · $0
6hJustin Boulais · $3.1K
24hJustin Boulais · $3.1K

Justin Boulais price VWAP

Volume-weighted Justin Boulais price. Sebastian Dominko fills are converted to the complementary Justin Boulais probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current9.3¢
VWAP 24h36.03¢▼ below by 26.7pp
VWAP 7d36.03¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Justin Boulais price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$26
60¢
$44
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$2
40¢
$383
35¢
$5.0K
30¢
$31
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$392
5¢
← now
$47
0¢
$0

VPOC = 35¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.