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Set 1 Winner: Cameron Norrie vs Francisco Cerundolo

Sports→TennisSettlement: Cameron NorrieLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $429Event: Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Francisco Cerundolo
100.0¢
Cameron Norrie payout
0.0¢
Francisco Cerundolo payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:3 trades$11 trackedsource coverage 3%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 50 min agoofficial metadata 5 min ago

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Cameron Norrie. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-03 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to “Cameron Norrie” if Cameron Norrie wins the first set. It will resolve to “Francisco Cerundolo” if Francisco Cerundolo wins the first set.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Cameron Norrie and Francisco Cerundolo in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Cameron Norrie” if Cameron Norrie wins the first set. It will resolve to “Francisco Cerundolo” if Francisco Cerundolo wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 6m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 6m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x1fd1…af022 linked markets · $2 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cameron Norrie; negative values favor Francisco Cerundolo. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hFrancisco Cerundolo · $11
6hFrancisco Cerundolo · $11
24hFrancisco Cerundolo · $11

Cameron Norrie price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cameron Norrie price. Francisco Cerundolo fills are converted to the complementary Cameron Norrie probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h53.0¢▲ above by 47.0pp
VWAP 7d53.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Cameron Norrie price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$11
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Francisco Cerundolo
94.0¢$202.0Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Norrie vs. Cerundolo: Match O/U 21.5
43.0¢$1.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Francisco Cerundolo (-1.5) vs Cameron Norrie (+1.5)
0.5¢$750priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Norrie vs. Cerundolo: Match O/U 22.5
9.5¢$139priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Cameron Norrie vs. Francisco Cerundolo: Total Sets O/U 2.5
10.5¢$71priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Cameron Norrie vs Francisco Cerundolo
94.0¢$65priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Norrie vs. Cerundolo: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Norrie vs. Cerundolo: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.