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Pan Pacific Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Talia Gibson

● quote 205 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $676.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $260.1KEvent: Pan Pacific Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Talia Gibson

Indicative prices · 205 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

7.0¢
Daria Kasatkina
99.9¢
Talia Gibson
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets46Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 57%💡 16 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:198 trades$70.9K tracked1% 🐋source coverage 27%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 205 min agoofficial metadata 205 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Talia Gibson · $17.5K net·16 wallets(1🐋)·$38.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTalia Gibson$10.6K@ 84¢·Woaifacai

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$20.8K
tracked
$70.9K

16 verified profitable wallets: Talia Gibson · $17.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 57% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote is 205 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 205 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 205 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-02 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Kasatkina and Talia Gibson in the Pan Pacific Open, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daria Kasatkina' if Daria Kasatkina advances against Talia Gibson. This market will resolve to 'Talia Gibson' if Talia Gibson advances against Daria Kasatkina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe907…cff62 linked markets · $1.5K gross
0xd676…183b2 linked markets · $102 gross
0x7755…4fa72 linked markets · $80 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Talia Gibson UP 4.0pp · near-book depth $1.3K → $5.2K · 11s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Daria Kasatkina; negative values favor Talia Gibson. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDaria Kasatkina · $0
6hTalia Gibson · $20.8K
24hTalia Gibson · $20.0K

Daria Kasatkina price VWAP

Volume-weighted Daria Kasatkina price. Talia Gibson fills are converted to the complementary Daria Kasatkina probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current7.0¢
VWAP 24h22.75¢▼ below by 15.8pp
VWAP 7d22.75¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Daria Kasatkina price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$2.3K
50¢
$3.0K
45¢
$11.2K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$2.9K
25¢
$3.6K
20¢
$9.2K
15¢
$21.8K
10¢
$1.7K
5¢
← now
$6.3K
0¢
$8.9K

VPOC = 15¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYTalia Gibson$10.6K@ 83.95¢
Woaifacai0x9b89…4244
🐋—about 5 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Set 2 Winner: Daria Kasatkina vs Talia Gibson
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Daria Kasatkina vs. Talia Gibson: Total Sets O/U 2.5
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Kasatkina vs. Gibson: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kasatkina vs. Gibson: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Kasatkina vs. Gibson: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

WoaifacaiTalia Gibson$13.6K
BUY VWAP 84.18¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.