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Set 2 Winner: Daria Kasatkina vs Talia Gibson

Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $4.9KEvent: Pan Pacific Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Talia Gibson

Indicative prices · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

—
Daria Kasatkina
—
Talia Gibson
—
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution0Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 57%
24h sample:5 trades$1.4K trackedsource coverage 28%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 257 min agoofficial metadata 239 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLTalia Gibson$1.3K@ 100¢·0xbf2b…fb88

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$1.4K
tracked
$1.4K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
—displayed spread

A two-sided quote is unavailable; check each available bid/ask below.

Data confidence 57% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Indicative price is unavailable.
  • •Two-sided executable spread is unavailable.
  • •Executable quote freshness is unavailable.
  • •Observed tape is 257 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-02 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to “Daria Kasatkina” if Daria Kasatkina wins set 2. It will resolve to “Talia Gibson” if Talia Gibson wins set 2.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Kasatkina and Talia Gibson in the Pan Pacific Open, originally scheduled for October 25, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Daria Kasatkina” if Daria Kasatkina wins set 2. It will resolve to “Talia Gibson” if Talia Gibson wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xe907…cff62 linked markets · $1.5K gross
0xd676…183b2 linked markets · $102 gross
0x7755…4fa72 linked markets · $80 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.discovery

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Daria Kasatkina; negative values favor Talia Gibson. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDaria Kasatkina · $0
6hDaria Kasatkina · $1.4K
24hDaria Kasatkina · $1.4K

Daria Kasatkina price VWAP

Volume-weighted Daria Kasatkina price. Talia Gibson fills are converted to the complementary Daria Kasatkina probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current—
VWAP 24h1.94¢
VWAP 7d1.94¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Daria Kasatkina price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$10
55¢
$16
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$29
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$1.3K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.