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Courmayeur: Elsa Jacquemot vs Caroline Werner

Sports→TennisSettlement: Elsa JacquemotLiquidity: $134.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $298.4KEvent: Courmayeur: Elsa Jacquemot vs Caroline Werner
100.0¢
Elsa Jacquemot payout
0.0¢
Caroline Werner payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Elsa Jacquemot · $45 net·9 wallets·$1.3K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLElsa Jacquemot$19.3K@ 100¢·0xc1a9…e2db

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Elsa Jacquemot. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-03 10:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Elsa Jacquemot and Caroline Werner in the Courmayeur, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elsa Jacquemot' if Elsa Jacquemot advances against Caroline Werner. This market will resolve to 'Caroline Werner' if Caroline Werner advances against Elsa Jacquemot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 2d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 2d ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x5d63…90752 linked markets · $12 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Caroline Werner2d ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Caroline Werner@ 69.0¢2d ago
15m INVALIDATED -33.0pp1h INVALIDATED -36.0pp6h UNAVAILABLE24h UNAVAILABLE

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Elsa Jacquemot; negative values favor Caroline Werner. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hCaroline Werner · $17.4K
6hCaroline Werner · $11.7K
24hCaroline Werner · $11.7K

Elsa Jacquemot price VWAP

Volume-weighted Elsa Jacquemot price. Caroline Werner fills are converted to the complementary Elsa Jacquemot probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h69.92¢▲ above by 30.1pp
VWAP 7d69.92¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Elsa Jacquemot price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$25.2K
90¢
$1.9K
85¢
$655
80¢
$0
75¢
$15.0K
70¢
$2.0K
65¢
$881
60¢
$6.9K
55¢
$669
50¢
$8.7K
45¢
$1.8K
40¢
$65
35¢
$8.4K
30¢
$7.0K
25¢
$317
20¢
$290
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$1.6K
0¢
$288

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLElsa Jacquemot$19.3K@ 99.9¢0xc1a9…e2db🐋—2 days ago
BUYElsa Jacquemot$12.9K@ 76.8¢0xc1a9…e2db🐋—2 days ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xc1a9…e2dbElsa Jacquemot$14.9K
BUY VWAP 76.96¢·2 fills
MarcoliCaroline Werner$14.0K
BUY VWAP 65.45¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.