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Guangzhou Open: Paula Badosa vs Harriet Dart

● quote 23s ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $812.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $506.9KEvent: Guangzhou Open: Paula Badosa vs Harriet Dart

Indicative prices · 23s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.05¢
Paula Badosa
99.95¢
Harriet Dart
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection7Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 71%💡 22 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:251 trades$111.6K trackedsource coverage 22%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 18 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Harriet Dart · $43.0K net·22 wallets(1🐋)·$64.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYHarriet Dart$19.4K@ 55¢·xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Paula Badosa pressure: $7.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$7.7K
6h
−$35.9K
tracked
$111.6K

22 verified profitable wallets: Harriet Dart · $43.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 71% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +36.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 18 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 36.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Paula Badosa or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-06 02:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Paula Badosa and Harriet Dart in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Paula Badosa' if Paula Badosa advances against Harriet Dart. This market will resolve to 'Harriet Dart' if Harriet Dart advances against Paula Badosa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Harriet Dart1h ago
Outcome checks pending
LARGE FLOWBUY Harriet Dart@ 64.0¢1h ago
15m CONFIRMED +5.0pp1h UNAVAILABLE
Latest book event: Harriet Dart UP 8.0pp · near-book depth $1.9K → $6.1K · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Paula Badosa; negative values favor Harriet Dart. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hPaula Badosa · $7.7K
6hHarriet Dart · $35.9K
24hHarriet Dart · $33.5K

Paula Badosa price VWAP

Volume-weighted Paula Badosa price. Harriet Dart fills are converted to the complementary Paula Badosa probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.05¢
VWAP 24h37.29¢▼ below by 37.2pp
VWAP 7d37.29¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Paula Badosa price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$2.5K
85¢
$1
80¢
$2.4K
75¢
$481
70¢
$3.0K
65¢
$4.1K
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$1.0K
45¢
$4.0K
40¢
$29.7K
35¢
$20.8K
30¢
$15.1K
25¢
$11.0K
20¢
$2.7K
15¢
$193
10¢
$1.4K
5¢
$42
0¢
← now
$13.2K

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYHarriet Dart$19.4K@ 55.3¢
xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjase0x5bfe…3258
🐋—about 2 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

xyxx0asdkasdkooajasdnajsdvbnjaseHarriet Dart$28.5K
BUY VWAP 55.00¢·7 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.