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Swiss Indoors Basel: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Arthur Fils

● quote 948 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $151.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $211.6KEvent: Swiss Indoors Basel: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Arthur Fils

Indicative prices · 948 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.7¢
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
99.9¢
Arthur Fils
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets94Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 59%💡 7 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:87 trades$77.8K trackedsource coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 949 min agoofficial metadata 949 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Arthur Fils · $18.2K net·7 wallets·$19.4K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYArthur Fils$7.6K@ 77¢·0x076d…8d4c

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$77.8K

7 verified profitable wallets: Arthur Fils · $18.2K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 59% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 948 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 949 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 949 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-03 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard and Arthur Fils in the Swiss Indoors Basel, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard' if Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard advances against Arthur Fils. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fils' if Arthur Fils advances against Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0x076d…8d4c2 linked markets · $7.9K gross
neutralwave232 linked markets · $1.3K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Arthur Fils UP 8.0pp · near-book depth $109.1K → $4.2K · 19s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard; negative values favor Arthur Fils. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hGiovanni Mpetshi Perricard · $0
6hGiovanni Mpetshi Perricard · $0
24hArthur Fils · $46.6K

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard price VWAP

Volume-weighted Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard price. Arthur Fils fills are converted to the complementary Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.7¢
VWAP 24h17.34¢▼ below by 16.6pp
VWAP 7d17.36¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$7.7K
20¢
$28.9K
15¢
$19.6K
10¢
$9.9K
5¢
$1.9K
0¢
← now
$10.1K

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Game Spread: Arthur Fils (-3.5) vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (+3.5)
45.0¢$6.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set Handicap: Arthur Fils (-1.5) vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard (+1.5)
—$1.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Arthur Fils
—$89priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Perricard vs. Fils: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Perricard vs. Fils: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs. Arthur Fils: Total Sets O/U 2.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Perricard vs. Fils: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays
—$1.4Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.