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Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Zizou Bergs

● quote 25 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $761.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $689.2KEvent: Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Zizou Bergs

Indicative prices · 25 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.9¢
Hubert Hurkacz
1.0¢
Zizou Bergs
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection27Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets55Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 76%💡 17 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:219 trades$314.6K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 46%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 28 min agoofficial metadata 26 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Zizou Bergs · $24.6K net·17 wallets(1🐋)·$45.2K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLHubert Hurkacz$32.5K@ 100¢·kkookkoo

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

Zizou Bergs pressure: $83.6K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$83.6K
6h
−$77.7K
tracked
$314.6K

17 verified profitable wallets: Zizou Bergs · $24.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 76% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +34.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 25 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 28 minutes old.
  • •Executable BUY price moved 34.0pp since the latest alert; its original entry no longer exists.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Zizou Bergs or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-03 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Hubert Hurkacz and Zizou Bergs in the Swiss Indoors Basel, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hubert Hurkacz' if Hubert Hurkacz advances against Zizou Bergs. This market will resolve to 'Zizou Bergs' if Zizou Bergs advances against Hubert Hurkacz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xc1a9…e2db2 linked markets · $12.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

MARKET SWEEPBUY Zizou Bergs@ 66.0¢2h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h INVALIDATED -55.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Hubert Hurkacz@ 64.0¢3h ago
15m INVALIDATED -29.0pp1h INVALIDATED -10.0pp
Latest book event: Hubert Hurkacz UP 10.0pp · near-book depth $369 → $9.2K · 7s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Hubert Hurkacz; negative values favor Zizou Bergs. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hZizou Bergs · $83.6K
6hZizou Bergs · $77.7K
24hZizou Bergs · $77.5K

Hubert Hurkacz price VWAP

Volume-weighted Hubert Hurkacz price. Zizou Bergs fills are converted to the complementary Hubert Hurkacz probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.9¢
VWAP 24h63.72¢▲ above by 36.2pp
VWAP 7d63.72¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Hubert Hurkacz price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$90.5K
90¢
$6.4K
85¢
$1.5K
80¢
$3.7K
75¢
$1.3K
70¢
$0
65¢
$5.4K
60¢
$54.9K
55¢
$17.9K
50¢
$7.3K
45¢
$18.1K
40¢
$15.5K
35¢
$49.3K
30¢
$40.4K
25¢
$2.5K
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLHubert Hurkacz$32.5K@ 99.9¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—28 minutes ago
SELLHubert Hurkacz$31.4K@ 99.9¢0xf816…0433🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYZizou Bergs$11.2K@ 54.76¢0x076d…8d4c🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYHubert Hurkacz$12.2K@ 38.82¢0xf816…0433🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYHubert Hurkacz$20.0K@ 64.78¢
kkookkoo0x26b4…b8a9
🐋—about 3 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

kkookkooHubert Hurkacz$21.1K
BUY VWAP 64.89¢·2 fills
redvinnyZizou Bergs$13.9K
BUY VWAP 62.00¢·8 fills
UpTheBluesHubert Hurkacz$13.3K
BUY VWAP 43.85¢·8 fills
0xf816…0433Hubert Hurkacz$12.2K
BUY VWAP 38.82¢·1 fill
0x076d…8d4cZizou Bergs$11.2K
BUY VWAP 54.76¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.