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Bills vs. Jets

● quote just now
Sports→American FootballCloses: 2 minutesLiquidity: $1.4MOfficial 24h Vol: $801.6KEvent: Bills vs. Jets

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

79.5¢
Bills
20.5¢
Jets
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection86Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets81Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority90Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 100%💡 9 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:140 trades$1.4M tracked18% 🐋source coverage 100%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 2 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Bills · $75.0K net·9 wallets(3🐋)·$95.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYBills$476.9K@ 80¢·Sassy-Bucket

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Bills SETUP
What the tape says

Bills pressure: $1.2M net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$1.2M
6h
+$1.3M
tracked
$1.4M

9 verified profitable wallets: Bills · $75.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 100% · priority 90

Since latest large flow: +0.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Bills or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-15 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Bills" if Bills win the game.

•This market will resolve to "Jets" if Jets win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Bills and Jets, scheduled for November 15 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Bills" if Bills win the game. This market will resolve to "Jets" if Jets win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
quavoo7 linked markets · $122.0K gross
0x9f15…bdb32 linked markets · $64.8K gross
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh2 linked markets · $46.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Bills@ 80.0¢3m ago
Outcome checks pending
ACCUMULATIONBUY Bills@ 79.0¢6m ago
Outcome checks pending
ACCUMULATIONBUY Bills@ 79.0¢24m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Bills@ 79.0¢27m ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Bills; negative values favor Jets. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hBills · $1.2M
6hBills · $1.3M
24hBills · $1.4M

Bills price VWAP

Volume-weighted Bills price. Jets fills are converted to the complementary Bills probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current79.5¢
VWAP 24h79.34¢▲ above by 0.2pp
VWAP 7d79.35¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Bills price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$488.4K
75¢
← now
$913.9K
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYBills$476.9K@ 80.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—2 minutes ago
BUYBills$288.5K@ 79.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—4 minutes ago
BUYBills$11.3K@ 79.0¢
jdfngkdjfnfd0x6f65…172c
🐋—5 minutes ago
BUYBills$20.0K@ 79.0¢
SharkbetX-com0x2759…2b38
🐋—10 minutes ago
BUYBills$16.6K@ 79.0¢
0xd4aa6f8e91cfea29b66a48ebff528140x709e…66f5
🐋—15 minutes ago
BUYBills$26.5K@ 79.0¢
0xd4aa6f8e91cfea29b66a48ebff528140x709e…66f5
🐋—26 minutes ago
BUYBills$19.2K@ 79.0¢
0xd4aa6f8e91cfea29b66a48ebff528140x709e…66f5
🐋—26 minutes ago
BUYBills$15.8K@ 79.0¢
NOO-Yes0x9786…de36
🐋—26 minutes ago
BUYBills$61.3K@ 79.0¢
NOO-Yes0x9786…de36
🐋—28 minutes ago
BUYBills$12.4K@ 79.0¢
0xd4aa6f8e91cfea29b66a48ebff528140x709e…66f5
🐋—37 minutes ago
BUYBills$25.4K@ 79.0¢
0xd4aa6f8e91cfea29b66a48ebff528140x709e…66f5
🐋—37 minutes ago
BUYBills$14.3K@ 79.0¢
0xd4aa6f8e91cfea29b66a48ebff528140x709e…66f5
🐋—43 minutes ago
BUYBills$13.9K@ 79.0¢
0xd4aa6f8e91cfea29b66a48ebff528140x709e…66f5
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBills$15.3K@ 79.0¢
quavoo0xdc41…dd7e
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBills$10.6K@ 79.0¢
HomeRunHazard0x5268…135d
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBills$62.5K@ 79.0¢
quavoo0xdc41…dd7e
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBills$15.3K@ 79.0¢
quavoo0xdc41…dd7e
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBills$10.3K@ 79.0¢
maz260x6754…e3bc
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBills$10.6K@ 79.0¢
HomeRunHazard0x5268…135d
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYBills$10.0K@ 79.0¢
BABELCONSTEL0xfa21…1438
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYBills$32.7K@ 79.0¢
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh0x0d6a…aa98
🐋—about 5 hours ago
BUYBills$15.0K@ 79.0¢0x9f15…bdb3🐋—about 13 hours ago
BUYBills$15.0K@ 79.0¢0x9f15…bdb3🐋—about 17 hours ago
BUYBills$15.0K@ 79.0¢0x9f15…bdb3🐋—about 17 hours ago
BUYBills$15.0K@ 79.0¢0x9f15…bdb3🐋—about 17 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

Sassy-BucketBills$765.4K
BUY VWAP 79.62¢·2 fills
0xd4aa6f8e91cfea29b66a48ebff52814Bills$192.0K
BUY VWAP 79.0¢·21 fills
quavooBills$100.2K
BUY VWAP 79.0¢·7 fills
NOO-YesBills$77.1K
BUY VWAP 79.0¢·2 fills
0x9f15…bdb3Bills$60.0K
BUY VWAP 79.0¢·4 fills
keeptheblueflagflyinghighBills$33.1K
BUY VWAP 79.0¢·2 fills
HomeRunHazardBills$26.1K
BUY VWAP 79.0¢·3 fills
SharkbetX-comBills$20.0K
BUY VWAP 79.0¢·1 fill
purplegattoBills$15.7K
BUY VWAP 79.0¢·32 fills
jdfngkdjfnfdBills$11.3K
BUY VWAP 79.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.