PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner

Sports→Esports · Counter-StrikeSettlement: MOUZLiquidity: $931.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $625.8KEvent: Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
0.0¢
Spirit payout
100.0¢
MOUZ payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:202 trades$228.5K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 26 min agoofficial metadata 6 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:MOUZ · $49.0K net·17 wallets(2🐋)·$70.7K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMOUZ$20.0K@ 92¢·suleng66

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome MOUZ. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-27 20:35 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://hltv.org
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win Map 2 against MOUZ.

•This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 2 against Spirit.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between Spirit and MOUZ in the PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage, initially scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Spirit" if Spirit win Map 2 against MOUZ. This market will resolve to "MOUZ" if MOUZ win Map 2 against Spirit. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 10, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 27, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 6m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 6m ago
DEADLINE CHANGED · 3h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
aaaa2983 linked markets · $51.2K gross
RN12 linked markets · $38.0K gross
CORGI82 linked markets · $36.6K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Spirit DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $761 → $78 · 4s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Spirit; negative values favor MOUZ. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMOUZ · $30.1K
6hMOUZ · $54.9K
24hMOUZ · $54.9K

Spirit price VWAP

Volume-weighted Spirit price. MOUZ fills are converted to the complementary Spirit probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h35.67¢▼ below by 35.7pp
VWAP 7d35.67¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Spirit price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$4.7K
70¢
$1.0K
65¢
$9.0K
60¢
$52.6K
55¢
$4.4K
50¢
$6.7K
45¢
$55.7K
40¢
$502
35¢
$1.1K
30¢
$2.0K
25¢
$1.3K
20¢
$4.3K
15¢
$419
10¢
$6.1K
5¢
$32.2K
0¢
← now
$46.6K

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMOUZ$15.6K@ 97.97¢
aaaa2980x4ebc…a33d
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYMOUZ$20.0K@ 92.28¢
suleng660x4f0e…0200
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYMOUZ$10.4K@ 52.0¢
IMAREALPERSON0x8c0b…7aa5
🐋—about 1 hour ago
BUYSpirit$10.0K@ 61.32¢
salgnklasf0xdad3…61cf
🐋—about 2 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage
54.5¢$1.3Mpriority57Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5)
0.05¢$23.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Games Total: O/U 2.5
99.6¢$21.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs MOUZ (+3.5)
50.0¢$921priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
50.5¢$708priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Spirit (+3.5)
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-6.5) vs Spirit (+6.5)
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.5
50.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

aaaa298MOUZ$23.2K
BUY VWAP 75.82¢·4 fills
suleng66MOUZ$20.0K
BUY VWAP 92.28¢·1 fill
RN1MOUZ$15.6K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·2 fills
IMAREALPERSONMOUZ$10.4K
BUY VWAP 52.0¢·1 fill
salgnklasfSpirit$10.0K
BUY VWAP 61.32¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.