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Spread: Clemson (-2.5)

● quote 46 min ago
Sports→American FootballCloses: 4 minutesLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $19.2KEvent: Clemson vs. Syracuse

Indicative prices · 46 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

48.5¢
Clemson
51.5¢
Syracuse
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly17Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection1Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets36Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 57%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:8 trades$5.2K trackedsource coverage 27%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 15 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Syracuse · $1.8K net·3 wallets·$4.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSyracuse$2.3K@ 50¢·ic4cream

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
−$34
6h
+$1.8K
tracked
$5.2K

3 verified profitable wallets: Syracuse · $1.8K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 57% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote is 46 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 15 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-07 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Clemson" if Clemson win the game by 3 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Syracuse".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for November 7 at 12:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Clemson" if Clemson win the game by 3 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Syracuse". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
mooseborzoi5 linked markets · $42.6K gross
ferrariChampions20263 linked markets · $19.1K gross
HomeRunHazard3 linked markets · $11.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Clemson; negative values favor Syracuse. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSyracuse · $34
6hClemson · $1.8K
24hSyracuse · $1.5K

Clemson price VWAP

Volume-weighted Clemson price. Syracuse fills are converted to the complementary Clemson probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current48.5¢
VWAP 24h49.39¢▼ below by 0.9pp
VWAP 7d49.8¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Clemson price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$5.3K
45¢
← now
$1.6K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.