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Alabama vs. LSU

● quote 382 min ago
Sports→American FootballCloses: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $9.9KEvent: Alabama vs. LSU

Indicative prices · 382 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

32.5¢
Alabama
67.5¢
LSU
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets61Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 52%💡 2 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:3 trades$874 trackedsource coverage 9%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 567 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Alabama · $769 net·2 wallets·$838 gross

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$874

2 verified profitable wallets: Alabama · $769 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 52% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Executable quote is 382 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 567 minutes old.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-07 20:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.ncaa.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Alabama" if Alabama win the game.

•This market will resolve to "LSU" if LSU win the game.

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming college football game between Alabama and LSU, scheduled for November 7 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Alabama" if Alabama win the game. This market will resolve to "LSU" if LSU win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
primm3 linked markets · $10.4K gross
mooseborzoi3 linked markets · $4.3K gross
quavoo2 linked markets · $4.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Alabama; negative values favor LSU. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAlabama · $0
6hAlabama · $0
24hAlabama · $805

Alabama price VWAP

Volume-weighted Alabama price. LSU fills are converted to the complementary Alabama probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current32.5¢
VWAP 24h32.96¢▼ below by 0.5pp
VWAP 7d32.96¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Alabama price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
← now
$874
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Spread: LSU (-6.5)
47.5¢$136.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: LSU (-5.5)
51.5¢$28.7Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: LSU (-3.5)
55.5¢$11.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Alabama vs. LSU: O/U 52.5
51.5¢$9.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Alabama vs. LSU: O/U 54.5
46.0¢$357priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: LSU (-8.5)
40.5¢$66priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Alabama vs. LSU: O/U 46.5
66.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Alabama (-8.5)
16.0¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.