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Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?

Politics→Culture→Closes: 1 dayLiquidity: $1.5MOfficial 24h Vol: $149.3KEvent: What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?

Indicative prices · 10 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

99.95¢
YES
0.05¢
NO
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:34 trades$51.6K trackedsource coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 209 min agoofficial metadata 49s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:NO · $530 net·2 wallets·$8.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYYES$8.2K@ 95¢·yen4u

Decision read paused

Market status is DISPUTED. No executable setup is shown until trading is open again.

DISPUTED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
DISPUTED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-27 23:05 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: Not supplied by the market
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

Read full resolution rules

Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas on October 27, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-lubbock-texas-president-donald-j-trump-djt47) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas on October 27, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: NO DOWN 6.0pp · near-book depth $79 → $79 · 49s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market disputed · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.disputed

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYES · $0
6hYES · $7.4K
24hYES · $20.2K

YES price VWAP

Volume-weighted YES price. NO fills are converted to the complementary YES probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current99.95¢
VWAP 24h91.36¢▲ above by 8.6pp
VWAP 7d90.82¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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YES price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
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$31.7K
90¢
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$1.7K
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$2.8K
65¢
$4.5K
60¢
$0
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VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

yen4uYes$18.9K
BUY VWAP 94.77¢·8 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.