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W50 Istanbul: Anastasia Gasanova vs Ekaterina Dotsenko

● quote 419 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 6 daysLiquidity: $14.9KOfficial 24h Vol: $109.9KEvent: W50 Istanbul: Anastasia Gasanova vs Ekaterina Dotsenko

Indicative prices · 419 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.05¢
Anastasia Gasanova
99.8¢
Ekaterina Dotsenko
3.8¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution12Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 64%
24h sample:14 trades$60.5K tracked14% 🐋source coverage 55%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 432 min agoofficial metadata 424 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLEkaterina Dotsenko$13.6K@ 100¢·TennisAce1

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
$0
tracked
$60.5K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
3.8¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 64% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 419 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 432 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 424 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-04 09:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Anastasia Gasanova and Ekaterina Dotsenko in the W50 Istanbul, Main Draw, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anastasia Gasanova' if Anastasia Gasanova advances against Ekaterina Dotsenko. This market will resolve to 'Ekaterina Dotsenko' if Ekaterina Dotsenko advances against Anastasia Gasanova. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.climax

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Anastasia Gasanova; negative values favor Ekaterina Dotsenko. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hAnastasia Gasanova · $0
6hAnastasia Gasanova · $0
24hAnastasia Gasanova · $12.1K

Anastasia Gasanova price VWAP

Volume-weighted Anastasia Gasanova price. Ekaterina Dotsenko fills are converted to the complementary Anastasia Gasanova probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.05¢
VWAP 24h24.97¢▼ below by 24.9pp
VWAP 7d24.97¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Anastasia Gasanova price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$11.0K
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$3.7K
30¢
$21.0K
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$24.8K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
SELLEkaterina Dotsenko$13.6K@ 99.9¢
TennisAce10xa3e1…2b3b
🐋—about 7 hours ago
BUYEkaterina Dotsenko$10.0K@ 65.89¢
TennisAce10xa3e1…2b3b
🐋—about 10 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

TennisAce1Ekaterina Dotsenko$12.0K
BUY VWAP 62.19¢·3 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.