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Spread: Jaguars (-17.5)

● quote just now
Sports→American FootballCloses: less than a minuteLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $21.8KEvent: Jaguars vs. Titans

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

31.0¢
Jaguars
69.0¢
Titans
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection75Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution63Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority66Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 78%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:12 trades$2.6K trackedsource coverage 12%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 5 min agoofficial metadata 6 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTitans$1.9K@ 70¢·glennyorkshire

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

REVIEW Titans SETUP
What the tape says

Titans pressure: $1.9K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$1.9K
6h
−$1.3K
tracked
$2.6K

1 verified profitable wallet: Jaguars · $23 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 78% · priority 66

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Titans or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-15 18:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Jaguars" if the Jaguars win the game by 18 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Titans".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Jaguars and Titans, scheduled for November 15 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Jaguars" if the Jaguars win the game by 18 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Titans". Overtime is included if played. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
R2D2RS2 linked markets · $208.3K gross
quavoo4 linked markets · $130.1K gross
BreakTheBank2 linked markets · $125.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Jaguars; negative values favor Titans. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTitans · $1.9K
6hTitans · $1.3K
24hTitans · $1.3K

Jaguars price VWAP

Volume-weighted Jaguars price. Titans fills are converted to the complementary Jaguars probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current31.0¢
VWAP 24h29.75¢▲ above by 1.3pp
VWAP 7d29.75¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Jaguars price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
← now
$1.9K
25¢
$652
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 30¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.