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Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

● quote 8 min ago
Sports→Esports · Dota 2Closes: about 4 hoursLiquidity: $471.7KOfficial 24h Vol: $804.2KEvent: Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs

Polymarket indicative prices · 10 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.05¢
PARIVISION
99.95¢
Team Liquid
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection5Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets26Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 72%💡 28 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:358 trades$225.2K trackedsource coverage 28%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 9 min agoofficial metadata 10 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Team Liquid · $15.0K net·28 wallets·$58.0K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYTeam Liquid$9.3K@ 36¢·0xf3ce…a57a

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Team Liquid pressure: $12.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$12.3K
6h
−$13.6K
tracked
$225.2K

28 verified profitable wallets: Team Liquid · $15.0K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 72% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 8 minutes old.
  • •Less than 4h remains; resolution risk is elevated.
  • •Rules, deadline or market status changed recently; re-read the current definition.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Team Liquid or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-28 15:10 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.dotabuff.com
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win Game 1 against Team Liquid.

•This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 1 against PARIVISION.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 1 match between PARIVISION and Team Liquid in the PARI Universe Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win Game 1 against Team Liquid. This market will resolve to "Team Liquid" if Team Liquid win Game 1 against PARIVISION. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before November 11, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 28, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Recent definition/status changes
DEADLINE CHANGED · 2h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
0xf3ce…a57a2 linked markets · $31.8K gross
0xe16d…5e302 linked markets · $29.0K gross
yanedaniil2 linked markets · $22.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: PARIVISION DOWN 6.5pp · near-book depth $1.6K → $163 · 1s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor PARIVISION; negative values favor Team Liquid. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hTeam Liquid · $12.3K
6hTeam Liquid · $13.6K
24hTeam Liquid · $13.4K

PARIVISION price VWAP

Volume-weighted PARIVISION price. Team Liquid fills are converted to the complementary PARIVISION probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.05¢
VWAP 24h39.29¢▼ below by 39.2pp
VWAP 7d39.29¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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PARIVISION price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$11.0K
65¢
$35.1K
60¢
$29.9K
55¢
$8.4K
50¢
$6.1K
45¢
$20.6K
40¢
$10.5K
35¢
$16.3K
30¢
$11.0K
25¢
$12.6K
20¢
$8.1K
15¢
$4.4K
10¢
$1.1K
5¢
$8.1K
0¢
← now
$41.9K

VPOC = 0¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0xe16d…5e30PARIVISION$16.0K
BUY VWAP 64.70¢·6 fills
yanedaniilTeam Liquid$13.1K
BUY VWAP 69.16¢·5 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.