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Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)

Sports→BasketballSettlement: NuggetsLiquidity: $260.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $501.8KEvent: Nuggets vs. Pelicans
100.0¢
Nuggets payout
0.0¢
Pelicans payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:27 trades$245.4K tracked37% 🐋source coverage 49%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 205 min agoofficial metadata 126 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Nuggets · $8.7K net·5 wallets(1🐋)·$92.1K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYNuggets$50.1K@ 50¢·ethanaz

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Nuggets. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-29 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Nuggets" if the Nuggets win the game by 11 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Pelicans". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Pelicans".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 28 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Nuggets" if the Nuggets win the game by 11 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Pelicans". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Pelicans". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 2h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 2h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
googleplay3 linked markets · $570.5K gross
ethanaz2 linked markets · $55.6K gross
0x2c33…05632 linked markets · $41.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Pelicans DOWN 12.5pp · near-book depth $40 → $193 · 26s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Nuggets; negative values favor Pelicans. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNuggets · $0
6hPelicans · $140.1K
24hPelicans · $140.1K

Nuggets price VWAP

Volume-weighted Nuggets price. Pelicans fills are converted to the complementary Nuggets probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h49.25¢▲ above by 50.8pp
VWAP 7d49.25¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Nuggets price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$61
55¢
$82
50¢
$100.1K
45¢
$144.8K
40¢
$358
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYNuggets$50.1K@ 50.0¢
ethanaz0xf28e…cab2
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYPelicans$46.8K@ 52.0¢
googleplay0xe9b7…ce7b
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYPelicans$10.2K@ 51.0¢
googleplay0xe9b7…ce7b
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYPelicans$21.4K@ 51.0¢
googleplay0xe9b7…ce7b
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYPelicans$10.2K@ 51.0¢
googleplay0xe9b7…ce7b
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYPelicans$10.2K@ 51.0¢
googleplay0xe9b7…ce7b
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYPelicans$10.2K@ 51.0¢
googleplay0xe9b7…ce7b
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYPelicans$10.2K@ 51.0¢
googleplay0xe9b7…ce7b
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYPelicans$10.8K@ 51.0¢
googleplay0xe9b7…ce7b
🐋—about 4 hours ago
BUYPelicans$11.0K@ 51.0¢
googleplay0xe9b7…ce7b
🐋—about 4 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

googleplayPelicans$151.1K
BUY VWAP 51.17¢·10 fills
ethanazNuggets$50.1K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill
0x2c33…0563Pelicans$40.0K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·4 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.