PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Spread: Thunder (-4.5)

Sports→BasketballSettlement: MavericksLiquidity: $140.5KOfficial 24h Vol: —Event: Thunder vs. Mavericks
0.0¢
Thunder payout
100.0¢
Mavericks payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMavericks$17.5K@ 47¢·KaneAnalytics

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Mavericks. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-10-29 01:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Thunder" if the Thunder win the game by 5 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Mavericks".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 28 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Thunder" if the Thunder win the game by 5 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Mavericks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 16d ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 16d ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Thunder; negative values favor Mavericks. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hThunder · $0
6hMavericks · $44.6K
24hMavericks · $41.8K

Thunder price VWAP

Volume-weighted Thunder price. Mavericks fills are converted to the complementary Thunder probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h52.54¢▼ below by 52.5pp
VWAP 7d52.54¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Thunder price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$4.8K
50¢
$50.9K
45¢
$643
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$454
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$170
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMavericks$17.5K@ 47.0¢
KaneAnalytics0x7e3a…3246
🐋—16 days ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks
49.5¢$1.8Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
—$891.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Hawks (-6.5)
50.5¢$739.0Kpriority82Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Taylor Fritz vs Lorenzo Musetti
—$699.2Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
M15 Antalya: Evgenii Tiurnev vs Dmitry Popko
48.0¢$544.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans
60.5¢$475.9Kpriority56Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.15¢$427.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Lima: Tristan Boyer vs Max Alcala Gurri
—$382.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.