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Sioux Falls: Mitchell Krueger vs Darwin Blanch

● quote just now
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $226.8KOfficial 24h Vol: $147.5KEvent: Sioux Falls: Mitchell Krueger vs Darwin Blanch

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.05¢
Mitchell Krueger
99.95¢
Darwin Blanch
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection6Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets93Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution99Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 72%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:56 trades$40.2K trackedsource coverage 27%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 19 min agoofficial metadata 31s ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Darwin Blanch · $71 net·5 wallets·$76 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLMitchell Krueger$5.1K@ 50¢·0x9e3e…f882

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Mitchell Krueger pressure: $2.3K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
+$2.3K
6h
+$1.7K
tracked
$40.2K

5 verified profitable wallets: Darwin Blanch · $71 net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 72% · priority 0

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Observed tape is 19 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Mitchell Krueger or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-05 15:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Mitchell Krueger and Darwin Blanch in the Sioux Falls, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mitchell Krueger' if Mitchell Krueger advances against Darwin Blanch. This market will resolve to 'Darwin Blanch' if Darwin Blanch advances against Mitchell Krueger. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Darwin Blanch UP 9.0pp · near-book depth $270 → $19.3K · 12s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Mitchell Krueger; negative values favor Darwin Blanch. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMitchell Krueger · $2.3K
6hMitchell Krueger · $1.7K
24hMitchell Krueger · $1.7K

Mitchell Krueger price VWAP

Volume-weighted Mitchell Krueger price. Darwin Blanch fills are converted to the complementary Mitchell Krueger probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.05¢
VWAP 24h45.56¢▼ below by 45.5pp
VWAP 7d45.55¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Mitchell Krueger price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$106
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$307
65¢
$124
60¢
$1.9K
55¢
$5.5K
50¢
$8.6K
45¢
$8.4K
40¢
$10.4K
35¢
$10
30¢
$1.4K
25¢
$0
20¢
$8
15¢
$0
10¢
$537
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$2.9K

VPOC = 40¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.