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Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Jan-Lennard Struff

● quote 58 min ago
Sports→TennisCloses: 7 daysLiquidity: $783.5KOfficial 24h Vol: $427.8KEvent: Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Jan-Lennard Struff

Indicative prices · 58 min ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

0.1¢
Novak Djokovic
99.9¢
Jan-Lennard Struff
0.1¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets13Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution30Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 58%💡 14 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:145 trades$129.2K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 30%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 66 min agoofficial metadata 55 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Jan-Lennard Struff · $6.6K net·14 wallets(1🐋)·$49.8K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYJan-Lennard Struff$16.2K@ 36¢·keeptheblueflagflyinghigh

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

TOO LATE — DO NOT CHASE
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
+$13.0K
tracked
$129.2K

14 verified profitable wallets: Jan-Lennard Struff · $6.6K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
0.1¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 58% · priority 0

Since latest market sweep: +27.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Price is near 0/100¢; headline flow can have little remaining payoff.
  • •Executable quote is 58 minutes old.
  • •Observed tape is 66 minutes old.
  • •Official market metadata is 55 minutes old.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-05 17:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Novak Djokovic and Jan-Lennard Struff in the Swiss Indoors Basel, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Novak Djokovic' if Novak Djokovic advances against Jan-Lennard Struff. This market will resolve to 'Jan-Lennard Struff' if Jan-Lennard Struff advances against Novak Djokovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
fastball672 linked markets · $3.6K gross
neutralwave232 linked markets · $697 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

ANTI CHASEBUY Novak Djokovic3h ago
Outcome checks pending
MARKET SWEEPBUY Novak Djokovic@ 73.0¢3h ago
15m CONFIRMED +12.0pp1h INVALIDATED -13.0pp
Latest book event: Jan-Lennard Struff DOWN 4.0pp · near-book depth $2.3K → $29.3K · 4s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Novak Djokovic; negative values favor Jan-Lennard Struff. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hNovak Djokovic · $0
6hNovak Djokovic · $13.0K
24hNovak Djokovic · $21.1K

Novak Djokovic price VWAP

Volume-weighted Novak Djokovic price. Jan-Lennard Struff fills are converted to the complementary Novak Djokovic probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.1¢
VWAP 24h71.42¢▼ below by 71.3pp
VWAP 7d71.42¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Novak Djokovic price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$18.3K
85¢
$13.4K
80¢
$11.4K
75¢
$43.4K
70¢
$2.1K
65¢
$119
60¢
$28.1K
55¢
$2.0K
50¢
$1.1K
45¢
$50
40¢
$13
35¢
$1.0K
30¢
$0
25¢
$211
20¢
$245
15¢
$0
10¢
$2.5K
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$5.2K

VPOC = 75¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYJan-Lennard Struff$16.2K@ 35.68¢
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh0x0d6a…aa98
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYNovak Djokovic$16.1K@ 90.0¢
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh0x0d6a…aa98
🐋—about 3 hours ago
BUYNovak Djokovic$13.0K@ 75.0¢
tennischamp0x8bfe…2d74
🐋—about 3 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

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LoL: Karmine Corp vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage
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Spread: Packers (-3.5)
50.5¢$431.0Kpriority65Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

keeptheblueflagflyinghighJan-Lennard Struff$16.2K
BUY VWAP 35.68¢·1 fill
keeptheblueflagflyinghighNovak Djokovic$16.1K
BUY VWAP 90.0¢·1 fill
tennischampNovak Djokovic$13.0K
BUY VWAP 75.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.