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Set 1 Winner: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev

Sports→TennisSettlement: Cameron NorrieLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $888Event: Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev
100.0¢
Cameron Norrie payout
0.0¢
Daniil Medvedev payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:3 trades$129 trackedsource coverage 15%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 87 min agoofficial metadata 10 min ago

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Cameron Norrie. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-05 09:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to “Cameron Norrie” if Cameron Norrie wins the first set. It will resolve to “Daniil Medvedev” if Daniil Medvedev wins the first set.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Cameron Norrie and Daniil Medvedev in the Erste Bank Open, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Cameron Norrie” if Cameron Norrie wins the first set. It will resolve to “Daniil Medvedev” if Daniil Medvedev wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 55m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 55m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
neutralwave232 linked markets · $2.7K gross
0xe1f4…f5a02 linked markets · $2 gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Cameron Norrie; negative values favor Daniil Medvedev. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDaniil Medvedev · $84
6hDaniil Medvedev · $39
24hDaniil Medvedev · $39

Cameron Norrie price VWAP

Volume-weighted Cameron Norrie price. Daniil Medvedev fills are converted to the complementary Cameron Norrie probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h80.0¢▲ above by 20.0pp
VWAP 7d80.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Cameron Norrie price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$84
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$16
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$29
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.