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Set Handicap: Daniel Galan (-1.5) vs Lautaro Midon (+1.5)

Sports→TennisSettlement: Lautaro MidonLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $203Event: Guayaquil: Daniel Galan vs Lautaro Midon
0.0¢
Daniel Galan payout
100.0¢
Lautaro Midon payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:1 trades$78 trackedsource coverage 38%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 171 min agoofficial metadata 19 min ago

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Lautaro Midon. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-05 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Daniel Galan" if Daniel Galan wins by 2 or more sets than Lautaro Midon, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Lautaro Midon."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Daniel Galan can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Lautaro Midon."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Galan and Lautaro Midon in the Guayaquil, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Daniel Galan" if Daniel Galan wins by 2 or more sets than Lautaro Midon, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Lautaro Midon." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Daniel Galan can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Lautaro Midon." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 19m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 19m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Daniel Galan; negative values favor Lautaro Midon. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hDaniel Galan · $0
6hLautaro Midon · $78
24hLautaro Midon · $78

Daniel Galan price VWAP

Volume-weighted Daniel Galan price. Lautaro Midon fills are converted to the complementary Daniel Galan probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h23.0¢▼ below by 23.0pp
VWAP 7d23.0¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Daniel Galan price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$78
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$0

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Guayaquil: Daniel Galan vs Lautaro Midon
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Galan vs. Midon: Match O/U 21.5
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Daniel Galan vs. Lautaro Midon: Total Sets O/U 2.5
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Set Handicap: Lautaro Midon (-1.5) vs Daniel Galan (+1.5)
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Galan vs. Midon: Match O/U 22.5
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Galan vs. Midon: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
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Set 2 Winner: Daniel Galan vs Lautaro Midon
——priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.