PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Set Handicap: Lautaro Midon (-1.5) vs Daniel Galan (+1.5)

Sports→TennisSettlement: YESLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: —Event: Guayaquil: Daniel Galan vs Lautaro Midon
100.0¢
YES payout
0.0¢
NO payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome YES. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-05 16:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Lautaro Midon" if Lautaro Midon wins by 2 or more sets than Daniel Galan, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Daniel Galan."

•If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Lautaro Midon can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Daniel Galan."

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Lautaro Midon and Daniel Galan in the Guayaquil, originally scheduled for October 29, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Lautaro Midon" if Lautaro Midon wins by 2 or more sets than Daniel Galan, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Daniel Galan." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Lautaro Midon can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Daniel Galan." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.

Recent definition/status changes
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 29m ago

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor YES; negative values favor NO. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hYES · $0
6hYES · $0
24hYES · $0
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Observed net position building

Loading…
Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Playoffs
—$2.5Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev
—$1.7Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Guangzhou Open: Maria Timofeeva vs Xinran Sun
—$1.4Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Rafael Jodar
—$989.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner
—$659.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti
99.95¢$446.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England
34.5¢$430.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.15¢$396.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.