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Magic vs. Raptors: O/U 225.5

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: 21 minutesLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $72.5KEvent: Magic vs. Raptors

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

52.0¢
Over
48.0¢
Under
2.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection23Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets33Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution56Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority49Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 77%💡 1 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:12 trades$36.0K trackedsource coverage 50%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 11 min agoofficial metadata 8 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYUnder$7.9K@ 47¢·JoeyAroyyOO

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

Under pressure: $8.5K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$8.5K
6h
−$8.5K
tracked
$36.0K

1 verified profitable wallet: Under · $10.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
2.0¢displayed spread

Workable spread; verify depth and the $10K slippage estimate below.

Data confidence 77% · priority 49

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 11 minutes old.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Under or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-30 23:30 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Over" if the Magic and Raptors combine to score 226 or more points in this game.

•If the combined total is less than 226, this market will resolve to "Under".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 30 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Magic and Raptors combine to score 226 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 226, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
monkeymashingkeyboard4 linked markets · $109.1K gross
0x2c33…05633 linked markets · $29.7K gross
quavoo3 linked markets · $20.8K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Under DOWN 11.0pp · near-book depth $11 → $8 · 29s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
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Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Over; negative values favor Under. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hUnder · $8.5K
6hUnder · $8.5K
24hUnder · $742

Over price VWAP

Volume-weighted Over price. Under fills are converted to the complementary Over probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current52.0¢
VWAP 24h52.64¢▼ below by 0.6pp
VWAP 7d52.64¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Over price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
← now
$36.0K
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

monkeymashingkeyboardOver$10.7K
BUY VWAP 52.33¢·2 fills
HomeRunHazardUnder$10.5K
BUY VWAP 47.0¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.