PolyScope
ScreenerCategoriesEventsLarge TradesWallets🐋 Top Whales⚡ Early MoversSignalsSmart MoneyPortfolioWatchlist🔔 Alerts

Pacers vs. Heat: O/U 237.5

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: about 2 hoursLiquidity: $47.6KOfficial 24h Vol: $167.0KEvent: Pacers vs. Heat

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

78.0¢
Over
22.0¢
Under
8.0¢
Spread
anomaly0Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection0Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets100Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution21Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 66%💡 5 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot
24h sample:41 trades$107.2K tracked5% 🐋source coverage 64%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 67 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Over · $39.5K net·5 wallets(1🐋)·$39.5K gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYUnder$15.8K@ 52¢·texaskid

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN
What the tape says

No material 1h direction in the tracked BUY/SELL sample.

1h
$0
6h
−$8.9K
tracked
$107.2K

5 verified profitable wallets: Over · $39.5K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?
8.0¢displayed spread

Expensive before size: wait for tighter quotes or reduce size.

Data confidence 66% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: -26.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •Observed tape is 67 minutes old.
  • •Spread is 8.0¢ before size-dependent slippage.

Stronger read requires meaningful signed flow plus confirmation across distinct observed wallets.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-10-31 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Over" if the Pacers and Heat combine to score 238 or more points in this game.

•If the combined total is less than 238, this market will resolve to "Under".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for October 30 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Pacers and Heat combine to score 238 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 238, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
iDARKenjoyer4 linked markets · $83.2K gross
ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $58.6K gross
ppku62982 linked markets · $23.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Under@ 52.0¢6h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Over@ 49.0¢8h ago
15m STALLED +0.0pp1h STALLED +0.0pp6h STALLED -1.0pp
Latest book event: Under DOWN 5.5pp · near-book depth $114 → $481 · 18s

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Over; negative values favor Under. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hOver · $0
6hUnder · $8.9K
24hOver · $34.6K

Over price VWAP

Volume-weighted Over price. Under fills are converted to the complementary Over probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current78.0¢
VWAP 24h48.58¢▲ above by 29.4pp
VWAP 7d48.58¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

Loading…

Over price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
← now
$3
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$99
50¢
$0
45¢
$107.1K
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 45¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

Loading…
Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYUnder$15.8K@ 51.63¢
texaskid0xc807…c12b
🐋—about 6 hours ago
BUYOver$12.4K@ 49.0¢
ferrariChampions20260xfe78…0319
🐋—about 10 hours ago

Related Markets · same event first, then category

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner
99.95¢$4.0Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage
99.95¢$1.1Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Pan Pacific Open: Alexandra Eala vs Diana Shnaider
—$1.0Mpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)
99.95¢$903.6Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Valentin Vacherot
—$677.3Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
48.5¢$672.5Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Claire Liu
—$660.8Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Guangzhou Open: Paula Badosa vs Harriet Dart
—$506.9Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ferrariChampions2026Over$37.4K
BUY VWAP 49.0¢·5 fills
texaskidUnder$24.8K
BUY VWAP 51.76¢·2 fills

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.