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Set 1 Winner: Xinran Sun vs Harriet Dart

Sports→TennisSettlement: Xinran SunLiquidity: $0Official 24h Vol: $13.5KEvent: Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Harriet Dart
100.0¢
Xinran Sun payout
0.0¢
Harriet Dart payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:6 trades$5.1K trackedsource coverage 37%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 79 min agoofficial metadata 4 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:SELLXinran Sun$4.7K@ 100¢·SeventyPercentPlus

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Xinran Sun. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-07 08:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to “Xinran Sun” if Xinran Sun wins the first set. It will resolve to “Harriet Dart” if Harriet Dart wins the first set.

Read full resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Xinran Sun and Harriet Dart in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Xinran Sun” if Xinran Sun wins the first set. It will resolve to “Harriet Dart” if Harriet Dart wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 49m ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 49m ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
SeventyPercentPlus2 linked markets · $9.3K gross
Ivan9482 linked markets · $5.5K gross
0xd6f9…e95d2 linked markets · $2.0K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Xinran Sun; negative values favor Harriet Dart. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hHarriet Dart · $4.5K
6hHarriet Dart · $4.3K
24hHarriet Dart · $4.3K

Xinran Sun price VWAP

Volume-weighted Xinran Sun price. Harriet Dart fills are converted to the complementary Xinran Sun probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current100.0¢
VWAP 24h95.95¢▲ above by 4.0pp
VWAP 7d95.95¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Xinran Sun price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
← now
$4.7K
90¢
$100
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$1
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$20
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$232
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 95¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
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🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
No whale activity

Related Markets · same event first, then category

Guangzhou Open: Xinran Sun vs Harriet Dart
12.5¢$787.4Kpriority45Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Set 2 Winner: Xinran Sun vs Harriet Dart
0.05¢$22.4Kpriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Sun vs. Dart: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5
99.95¢$435priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Xinran Sun vs. Harriet Dart: Total Sets O/U 2.5
99.95¢$221priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Game Spread: Harriet Dart (-1.5) vs Xinran Sun (+1.5)
50.0¢$128priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Sun vs. Dart: Match O/U 23.5
99.95¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Sun vs. Dart: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5
99.95¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge
Sun vs. Dart: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5
99.95¢—priority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edge

Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

No observed $10K+ whale buys

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.