Spurs vs. Kings

● quote 12s ago

Sports→BasketballCloses: about 5 hoursLiquidity: $251.3KOfficial 24h Vol: $126.5KEvent: Spurs vs. Kings

Indicative prices · 12s ago · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

90.5¢

Spurs

9.5¢

Kings

1.0¢

Spread

anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection33Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets67Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority0Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 81%💡 3 smartMeasured profitable wallets: positive real PnL, 20+ trades, non-bot

24h sample:66 trades$81.3K tracked2% 🐋source coverage 64%BUY/SELL known 100%

tape 76 min agoofficial metadata 1 min ago

Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Spurs · $14.7K net·3 wallets(1🐋)·$14.7K gross

Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSpurs$11.8K@ 90¢·maz26

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WAIT — EVIDENCE TOO THIN

What the tape says

Spurs pressure: $22.0K net directional flow in 1h.

+$22.0K

+$29.0K

tracked

$81.3K

3 verified profitable wallets: Spurs · $14.7K net over 7d.

Can it be executed?

1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 81% · priority 0

Since latest large flow: +1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence

•Observed tape is 76 minutes old.
•Less than 5h remains; resolution risk is elevated.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Spurs or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution

OPEN

Trading

Orders accepted

Deadline

2026-11-07 03:00 UTC

Event constraint

Not verified

Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/

Outcome meaning

•If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs".

•If the Kings win, the market will resolve to "Kings".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Spurs and Kings, originally scheduled for Friday, November 6, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Spurs win, the market will resolve to "Spurs". If the Kings win, the market will resolve to "Kings". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow

ferrariChampions20262 linked markets · $19.6K gross

HomeRunHazard3 linked markets · $9.5K gross

0x076d…8d4c2 linked markets · $1.5K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Spurs@ 90.0¢1h ago

15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes

Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Spurs; negative values favor Kings. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.

1hSpurs · $22.0K

6hSpurs · $29.0K

24hSpurs · $55.8K

Spurs price VWAP

Volume-weighted Spurs price. Kings fills are converted to the complementary Spurs probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.

Current90.5¢

VWAP 24h89.94¢▲ above by 0.6pp

VWAP 7d89.93¢

Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Spurs price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢

90¢

← now

$70.7K

85¢

$10.7K

80¢

75¢

70¢