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Spread: Spurs (-17.5)

Sports→BasketballSettlement: KingsLiquidity: $223.1KOfficial 24h Vol: $399.9KEvent: Spurs vs. Kings
0.0¢
Spurs payout
100.0¢
Kings payout
Historical analytics · no executable quote
24h sample:26 trades$188.0K tracked12% 🐋source coverage 47%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 928 min agoofficial metadata 902 min ago
Profitable-wallet flow · 7d:Kings · $218 net·3 wallets·$343 gross
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYSpurs$113.4K@ 51¢·0x4924…3782

Historical decision record

Market resolved · outcome Kings. Flow, alerts and prices below are retained evidence, not an executable setup.

RESOLVED

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
RESOLVED
Trading
Orders paused
Deadline
2026-11-07 03:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 18 or more points.

•Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Kings". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Kings".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Spurs and Kings, originally scheduled for Friday, November 6, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): This market will resolve to "Spurs" if the Spurs win the game by 18 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Kings". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Kings". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

Recent definition/status changes
RESOLUTION STATUS CHANGED · 15h ago
TRADING STATUS CHANGED · 15h ago
Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
Sassy-Bucket2 linked markets · $49.2K gross
Flaznorp35 linked markets · $39.9K gross
quavoo2 linked markets · $33.1K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

No decision-grade alert has been emitted for this market yet.
Latest book event: Kings UP 11.5pp · near-book depth $3 → $752 · 76s

Outcome Price History

Execution status
Market resolved · the orderbook is not executable.

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolved

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Spurs; negative values favor Kings. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hSpurs · $2.6K
6hSpurs · $127.0K
24hSpurs · $126.8K

Spurs price VWAP

Volume-weighted Spurs price. Kings fills are converted to the complementary Spurs probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current0.0¢
VWAP 24h50.13¢▼ below by 50.1pp
VWAP 7d50.13¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Spurs price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$16
70¢
$280
65¢
$0
60¢
$48
55¢
$1.2K
50¢
$184.4K
45¢
$16
40¢
$7
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
$0
15¢
$0
10¢
$51
5¢
$0
0¢
← now
$2.9K

VPOC = 50¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Historical observed tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYKings$26.9K@ 50.0¢
Sassy-Bucket0x4bff…fc26
🐋—about 18 hours ago
BUYSpurs$28.1K@ 51.0¢0x4924…3782🐋—about 18 hours ago
BUYSpurs$113.4K@ 51.0¢0x4924…3782🐋—about 18 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

0x4924…3782Spurs$141.5K
BUY VWAP 51.0¢·2 fills
Sassy-BucketKings$26.9K
BUY VWAP 50.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.