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Bucks vs. Magic

● quote just now
Sports→BasketballCloses: 4 minutesLiquidity: $1.0MOfficial 24h Vol: $136.3KEvent: Bucks vs. Magic

Indicative prices · just now · Buy/sell quotes are shown in the orderbook.

20.5¢
Bucks
79.5¢
Magic
1.0¢
Spread
anomaly100Activity anomaly — current observed activity versus the market baselinedirection28Direction — strength and consistency of signed flow between the two outcomeswallets0Wallet quality — contribution from verified profitable non-bot walletsexecution93Execution — spread, depth and quote quality; not expected valuepriority51Opportunity priority — ranking score, not predicted return or edgedata 94%
24h sample:52 trades$105.4K tracked6% 🐋source coverage 77%BUY/SELL known 100%
tape 3 min agoofficial metadata 3 min ago
Largest observed trade · 30d:BUYMagic$24.1K@ 79¢·Lakersfan111

Decision read

Evidence and execution checklist — not a trade recommendation

WATCH — NO CONFIRMED SETUP
What the tape says

Magic pressure: $29.7K net directional flow in 1h.

1h
−$29.7K
6h
−$50.2K
tracked
$105.4K

No verified profitable-wallet confirmation in the observed sample.

Can it be executed?
1.0¢displayed spread

Tight displayed spread; depth and partial-fill risk still matter.

Data confidence 94% · priority 51

Since latest large flow: +1.0pp at executable prices.

Priority ranks review urgency; it is not probability or expected value.

Risks / missing evidence
  • •No hard data-quality flag; still verify rules, news and orderbook depth.

The read weakens if 1h flow flips away from Magic or execution deteriorates.

Resolution & market truth

Verify what settles the market before reading flow as a thesis

Resolution
OPEN
Trading
Orders accepted
Deadline
2026-11-14 00:00 UTC
Event constraint
Not verified
Resolution source: https://www.nba.com/
Outcome meaning

•If the Bucks win, the market will resolve to "Bucks".

•If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic".

Read full resolution rules

In the upcoming NBA game between Bucks and Magic, originally scheduled for Friday, November 13, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If the Bucks win, the market will resolve to "Bucks". If the Magic win, the market will resolve to "Magic". If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Sunday, November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Event-level hedge context · observed 7d flow
keeptheblueflagflyinghigh4 linked markets · $38.6K gross
quavoo4 linked markets · $21.8K gross
HomeRunHazard2 linked markets · $15.2K gross

Multi-market activity can be a hedge; do not read one leg as the wallet’s full thesis.

Evidence receipts

Timestamped alerts and their measured outcomes; losses and unavailable checks remain visible

LARGE FLOWBUY Magic@ 79.0¢1h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp
LARGE FLOWBUY Magic@ 78.0¢7h ago
15m STALLED -1.0pp1h STALLED -1.0pp6h STALLED +0.0pp

Outcome Price History

Executable orderbook · both outcomes
Loading executable orderbook…

Signals Trend

Market Analytics

LifecycleCanonical market state overrides the analytics stage after resolution. discovery/climax/resolving describe open-market analytics only; resolved/void are terminal states.resolving

Signed Order Flow

Directional flow: positive values favor Bucks; negative values favor Magic. Only trades with known BUY/SELL action are included.
1hMagic · $29.7K
6hMagic · $50.2K
24hMagic · $93.5K

Bucks price VWAP

Volume-weighted Bucks price. Magic fills are converted to the complementary Bucks probability before aggregation. Distance from VWAP is displacement, not an overbought/oversold signal.
Current20.5¢
VWAP 24h21.74¢▼ below by 1.2pp
VWAP 7d21.74¢
Largest observed holdersActual token balances from Polymarket's holders endpoint. Coverage is limited to the top 20 holders per outcome; percentages are within the reported sample, not total supply.

Largest holders

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Bucks price Volume Profile · tracked 30d

95¢
$0
90¢
$0
85¢
$0
80¢
$0
75¢
$0
70¢
$0
65¢
$0
60¢
$0
55¢
$0
50¢
$0
45¢
$0
40¢
$0
35¢
$0
30¢
$0
25¢
$0
20¢
← now
$105.5K
15¢
$0
10¢
$0
5¢
$0
0¢
$0

VPOC = 20¢ · highlighted bar = current price · blue bar = VPOC

Observed net position building

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Observed Tape · BUY/SELL shown outcome · retained 30dupdated less than a minute ago
Loading trades…
🐋 Large Trades$10,000+ · retained 30dBUY/SELL shown outcomeΔ now
BUYMagic$24.1K@ 79.0¢
Lakersfan1110x6ac5…4b6e
🐋—3 minutes ago
BUYMagic$22.0K@ 78.0¢
ticklepickles4440x7138…eb79
🐋—about 2 hours ago
BUYMagic$18.2K@ 78.0¢
ticklepickles4440x7138…eb79
🐋—about 7 hours ago

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Observed whale buys · 7d

Aggregated BUY fills of $10K+ per wallet and outcome

ticklepickles444Magic$59.4K
BUY VWAP 78.0¢·7 fills
Lakersfan111Magic$24.1K
BUY VWAP 79.0¢·1 fill

Observed BUY activity; current holdings and position change may be unconfirmed.